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7:30 PM ET, November 4, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Michelle Malkin:
Obama's civilian security force: Billy club-wielding security guards at Philly polls  —  Here's the vid of billy club-wielding “security” guards at the 1221 Fairmount Ave. polling place in Philly from Election Journal.  Just as I suspected, these guys look like NBPP from the emblem on one of the “guard's” jackets.
RELATED:
Matt Lewis / Townhall.com:
Rush Limbaugh on Black Panthers Engaging in Voter Intimidation
Discussion: Marc Ambinder
Marc Ambinder:
A Relatively Smooth Election. Really.
Discussion: Ben Smith's Blogs
Noel Sheppard / NewsBusters.org:
CNN Caller: Where's Your Report On Black Panther Voter Intimidation in Philly?
Discussion: Commentary and Blogs of War
Ed Morrissey / Hot Air:
Video: Black Panther poll intimidation in Pennsylvania?
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls  —  Oh, let me count the ways.  Almost all of this, by the way, is lifted from Mark Bluemthnal's outstanding Exit Poll FAQ.  For the long version, see over there.  —  1. Exit polls have a much larger intrinsic margin for error than regular polls.
RELATED:
Joe Lieberman / The Huffington Post:
Exit Polls 2008: See The Full Results  —  (More exit polls coming soon.  We explain why you shouldn't trust them below.)  —  The head to head exit polls just were sent to the Huffington Post by a Democratic source.  These are traditionally unreliable and should be taken with a grain of salt (see: Kerry's winning margins in 2004).
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
Looking for Presidential Exit Polls?  —  Looking for leaked exit poll results from the Obama-McCain presidential race?  Sorry to break the news, but until at least 5:00 p.m. today you are out of luck.  —  Following the 2004 election, when partial and misleading results leaked out at mid day …
Marc Ambinder:
National Exit Poll Data....First Takes...
Discussion: Salon
Amanda Carpenter / Townhall.com:
A Repeat of 2004 Philly Voter Chaos, Fraud  —  GOP Election Board members have been tossed out of polling stations in at least half a dozen polling stations in Philadelphia because of their party status.  —  A Pennsylvania judge previously ruled that court-appointed poll watchers …
RELATED:
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Poll problems and poll problem spin
Discussion: Macsmind
Attiyah Buford / NBC Philadelphia:
Voting Problems in Philly & South Jersey
Discussion: Fausta's Blog and Firedoglake
Skip / GraniteGrok:
BREAKING - POSSIBLE VOTER FRAUD IN NH!
City Room:
Tim Robbins Faces Mix-Up at Polling Place  —  The actor Tim Robbins, looked dejected and annoyed around 10:30 a.m., as he was sitting in a folding chair at the McBurney YMCA at 125 West 14th Street, one of the more than 1,300 polling places throughout New York City.
RELATED:
Peter Hamby / CNN:
Palin discusses her future  —  Gov. Sarah Palin cast her vote in Wasilla, Alaska and spoke to reporters about her future.  (AP PHOTO)  —  WASILLA, Alaska (CNN) — Sarah Palin appeared calm and confident Tuesday morning during her brief sojourn to Wasilla, Alaska, where she greeted hometown supporters …
Nora Ephron / The Huffington Post:
Thinking About Bill  —  As I listened to Sarah Palin's recent phone call with “Nikolas Sarkozy,” I couldn't help thinking about Bill Kristol.  —  I think about Bill Kristol far too much.  I almost never used to.  Before he began writing his Monday column in the New York Times, I rarely saw him on television.
Discussion: The Heretik
RELATED:
Ryan Powers / Think Progress:
Kristol: Palin ‘reminds me a lot of FDR.’
Satyam Khanna / Think Progress:
Lieberman: ‘I Fear’ That ‘America Will Not Survive’ If Democrats Get 60 Senate Seats  —  With the possibility that Democrats might soon gain a filibuster proof majority in the Senate, Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) has been openly flirting with thoughts of voting with his conservative colleagues.
James Pethokoukis / US News:
The Latest From Inside McCain HQ  —  I just talked to one of my best Team McCain sources who told me that heading into today all the key battleground polls were moving hard and fast in their direction.  The source, hardly a perma-optimist, thinks it will be a long night, but that McCain is going to win.
Seanmalstrom / Malstrom's Articles News:
Toast  —  I've checked my email, and I have over a hundred new messages.  And I can't get to anything resorting to ‘Sean Malstrom’ due to real life situations.  Luckily I changed my career gears long ago.  But my old profession of political analysis is going to be absolutely destroyed.
Marc Ambinder:
An Obama “Urgent” E-mail  —  A New York City-based Obama home phonebanker who's been making calls through the MyBO.com hub to PA and VA says he just received this e-mail:
Rob Crilly / Times of London:
Barack Obama's Kenyan family to celebrate by slaughtering bulls, chicken and goats  —  Times reporter attends the Obama family victory feast in the village of Kogelo, Kenya, and brings along a live goat  —  There's only one thing to take to a Kenyan election victory feast: a goat.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
Today's Polls and Final Election Projection: Obama 349, McCain 189  —  It's Tuesday, November 4th, 2008, Election Day in America.  The last polls have straggled in, and show little sign of mercy for John McCain.  Barack Obama appears poised for a decisive electoral victory.
HillBuzz:
Five Reasons Obama Lost This Election  —  We truly believe if all of us continue to work as hard as possible tonight and tomorrow in get-out-the-vote efforts, and if we control the Eeyores in our midst and prevent the Obamedia from depressing turnout in our ranks, that McCain/Palin …
Bob Cusack / The Hill:
Schumer on Fox: Fairness Doctrine ‘fair and balanced’  —  Sen. Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) on Tuesday defended the so-called Fairness Doctrine in an interview on Fox News, saying, “I think we should all be fair and balanced, don't you?”  —  Schumer's comments echo other Democrats' views …
Boyd Reed / eastside93's Blog:
I Didn't Vote For Obama Today  —  I have a confession to make.  —  I did not vote for Barack Obama today.  —  I've openly supported Obama since March.  But I didn't vote for him today.  —  I wanted to vote for Ronald Woods.  He was my algebra teacher at Clark Junior High in East St. Louis, IL.
Ali Frick / Think Progress:
Fearful Conservatives Push New Talking Point: ‘This Is A Center-Right Country’  —  Last Friday, Washington Post columnist Charles Krauthammer called the United States “the quintessential center-right country,” and wondered why it was “poised to reject” Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), “the quintessential center-right candidate.”
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
Good Riddance  —  Today being the day America chooses a successor, it's worth reflecting for a moment on the abysmal leader we have right now.  I think an issue like asking whether or not George W. Bush is the worst president we've ever had gets a little too imponderable considering the historical issues.
Charles Mahtesian / The Politico:
25 key counties to watch tonight  —  In presidential elections, not all counties are created equal.  —  Generally, the counties that matter most are located in closely contested states, where they play a key role in determining the winner.  Thus the most populous county in the U.S. …
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
What Will We Know by 7 PM?  —  Andrew Gelman of Columbia University has taken a recent set of our simulations to look at what may happen conditional on the outcomes of the first states to close their polls at 6 and 7 PM.  The bottom line?  If those states go roughly as expected (meaning …
Michael Crowley / The New Republic:
A GOTV Glitch For Obama?  —  A friend in the field for Obama passes on this tip: … Another friend working in Ohio chimes in: … “This is just not true,” an Obama campaign source responds.  But the original tips come from people I know and trust, so I have to think something's awry.
Discussion: Ben Smith's Blogs
Megan McArdle:
Big Day  —  This is a pretty great day to be living in a heavily black neighborhood.  Obviously, a lot of people are excited about this election.  But being here is a lot like what I imagine my relatives experienced being in West Roxbury in 1960.  There's a holiday festivity to the area …
Discussion: TigerHawk
John McCormick / The Swamp:
Obama says Indiana win within reach  —  Sen. Barack Obama at the UAW Local 550 Union Hall in Indianapolis, Indiana on Tuesday, November 4, 2008.  ( Chicago Tribune photo by Zbigniew Bzdak )  —  by John McCormick  —  During his brief visit to Indianapolis this morning …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Noam Scheiber / The New Republic:
Why No Bin Laden Tape?
Discussion: Stop The ACLU
Julian Walker / Virginian-Pilot:
McCain campaign sues over overseas military ballots
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Rick vs. Joe
Jill Zuckman / The Swamp:
McCain plane aborts landing in N.M.
Discussion: TIME.com
Dara Kam / Q: Florida Politics:
ELECTION DAY “EERILY QUIET” SEZ BROWNING
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
The Difference-Makers  —  I've been a little bit surprised …
 Earlier Items: 
Andrew Malcolm / Top of the Ticket:
Go home.  No need to vote.  Oprah's already got her Obama inaugural ball gown
WSB-TV:
Some Georgians Suspected Of Voting Twice
Discussion: Power Line
Ynetnews:
Obama camp denies Jerusalem promised to Abbas
Discussion: Israel Matzav
Mary Katharine Ham / Weekly Standard:
Obama's Foreign Legions
Discussion: protein wisdom