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1:25 PM ET, December 29, 2011

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Kevinliptak / CNN:
Romney's Iowa confidence grows  —  Cedar Falls, Iowa (CNN) - As another Republican front-runner fell in the polls in Iowa, steady-as-he-goes GOP candidate Mitt Romney appeared to see his moment.  —  The man who has watched a string of opponents alternately vault to the lead in Iowa was greeted …
Discussion: Ballot Box
RELATED:
Jonathan Martin / The Politico:
Bachmann chair's surprise defection  —  “10 minutes ago,” Sorenson, a GOP state senator, told POLITICO about when the Paul campaign found out he was moving to their camp.  —  In one of the most surprising moments of the 2012 campaign, Sorenson strolled on stage just moments before Paul …
CNN:
Bachmann defection opens new rift in campaign
Discussion: Washington Post, Guardian and Daily Kos
Jennifer Jacobs / Iowa Caucuses:
Mitt Romney airs final TV ad in Iowa today, plans post-caucus party in Des Moines
Alexander Burns / The Politico:
Who won the day? Rick Santorum
Mark Halperin / The Page:
Bachmann Iowa Chair Ditches Her for Paul
CNN:
Santorum buying television time in New Hampshire
Discussion: GOP 12
Kevinliptak / CNN:
CNN Poll: Romney on top, Gingrich fading & Santorum rising in Iowa
Helene Cooper / New York Times:
White House Memo: Obama Gains Reputation as Distant in Washington  —  WASHINGTON — Air Force One had just landed in Manchester, N.H., on a brisk Tuesday morning last month when President Obama made an admission to Valerie B. Jarrett, his close friend and senior adviser.  —  “I just called Reggie,” Mr. Obama said.
RELATED:
David Dayen / Firedoglake:   Slow News Week Leads to Headache-Inducing Obama Personality Profile
Juana Summersand Charles Mahtesian / The Politico:
Ron Paul soft spot emerges: Foreign policy  —  DES MOINES — Scary.  Not serious.  To the left of Barack Obama.  A threat to the existence of Israel.  —  With Ron Paul at or near the top of the polls in Iowa, his Republican rivals are sounding the alarms about the Texas congressman's unorthodox foreign policy views.
Discussion: CNN, Mercury Rising and Radio Iowa
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
New Iowa Poll May Understate Paul's Support  —  I'm not always a big fan of dissecting individual polls — mostly because there are liable to be a plethora of them in Iowa and New Hampshire over the next several days and their errors will tend to be mitigated as more are added to the average.
Robert Reich:
My Political Prediction for 2012: It's Obama-Clinton  —  My political prediction for 2012 (based on absolutely no inside information): Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden swap places.  Biden becomes Secretary of State — a position he's apparently coveted for years.  And Hillary Clinton, Vice President.
RELATED:
Robert Reich / Business Insider:
Get Ready For A Obama-Clinton Presidential Ticket
Jeffrey M. Jones / Gallup:
Americans See Views of GOP Candidates Closer to Their Own  —  Obama, Bachmann furthest away on ideological scale  —  PRINCETON, NJ — Americans perceive Jon Huntsman, Mitt Romney, and Ron Paul as closest to themselves ideologically, and Michele Bachmann and Barack Obama as furthest away.
RELATED:
Frank Newport / Gallup:
Obama, Democrats Have Edge on Payroll Tax, Unemployment  —  The president and Democrats get higher marks on their job performance this year than GOP  —  PRINCETON, NJ — Americans have slightly more confidence in President Barack Obama and the Democrats in Congress (41%) …
Discussion: Campaign 2012 and Daily Kos
Jeffrey Scott Shapiro / Big Government:
EXCLUSIVE: Nancy Pelosi's Daughter: ‘My Mom Wants to Leave Congress’  —  Alexandra Pelosi, daughter of House Minority Leader and former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, told Big Government this week that her mother wants to leave Congress-and that she remains in Washington only at the behest of her campaign donors.
Richard A. Oppel Jr / New York Times:
Ranks of Young Paul Volunteers Willingly Clean Up for the Cause  —  DES MOINES — Ron Paul's college-aged volunteer army — a core of the powerful ground organization that is the envy of rivals — is descending on Iowa from around the nation to coax people to the state's Republican caucuses …
Karl Rove / Wall Street Journal:
Political Predictions for 2012  —  Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid or both will leave the Democratic leadership by year's end.  —  As New Year's approaches, here are a baker's dozen predictions for 2012.  —  • Republicans will keep the U.S. House, albeit with their 25-seat majority slightly reduced.
Discussion: Betsy's Page, GOP 12 and The Impolitic
Derek Thompson / The Atlantic Online:
Is the U.S. Getting Older and Whiter, or Younger and More Diverse?  Yes.  —  A brief statistical road trip across the swiftly changing, if not swiftly growing, country  —  The U.S. population grew slower in 2011 than any time in the last 70 years, capping the most lethargic decade of population growth since the 1930s.
The New Republic:
TNR On the Most Overlooked Stories of 2011  —  Lawrence Kaplan: America's Silent Withdrawal From Iraq  —  War is over.  —  No, really.  “Permanent” bases?  Absolutely not.  A decades-long partnership between Iraq and the United States?  With the American officials who guide the fortunes …
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Catherine Rampell / New York Times:
Instead of Work, Younger Women Head to School  —  Workers are dropping out of the labor force in droves, and they are mostly women.  In fact, many are young women.  But they are not dropping out forever; instead, these young women seem to be postponing their working lives to get more education.
Discussion: The New Republic, Althouse and Gawker
Paul A. Rahe / Ricochet Conversations Feed:
What is Wrong With the Individual Mandate?  —  ParisParamus: Again, why is a mandate like Romneycare less conservative than raising everyone's state income taxes to pay for the free riders?  Or, why isn't Romneycare fundamentally different than having raised everyone's state income taxes …
Discussion: Power Line
Donna St. George / Washington Post:
In Washington area, African American students suspended and expelled two to five times as often as whites  —  Across the Washington area, black students are suspended and expelled two to five times as often as white students, creating disparities in discipline that experts say reflect a growing national problem.
Pew Research Center:
Little Change in Public's Response to ‘Capitalism,’ ‘Socialism’  —  A Political Rhetoric Test  —  OVERVIEW  —  The recent Occupy Wall Street protests have focused public attention on what organizers see as the excesses of America's free market system, but perceptions of capitalism …
Discussion: Weasel Zippers and The Politico
Lens:
From North Korea, an Altered Procession  —  The funeral of Kim Jong-il on Wednesday called to mind the best stage-managed Communist state productions: the falling snow, the wailing mourners, the perfectly spaced limousines and rows of chest-beating men.  —  So perhaps it was because the scene …
Craig Whitlock / Washington Post:
Pentagon trimming ranks of generals, admirals  —  With the Iraq war over and troops in Afghanistan on their way home, the U.S. military is getting down to brass tacks: culling generals and admirals from its top-heavy ranks.  —  Pentagon officials said they have eliminated 27 jobs for generals …
Wall Street Journal:
Britain's Future Lies With America, Not Europe  —  Welcoming Britain back into the North Atlantic economic community would be a win-win for all involved.  —  In 1952, then-U.S. Secretary of State Dean Acheson said that “Britain has lost an empire but has failed to find a role.”
 
 
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 More Items: 
Dimitra Defotis / Barron's Online:
A Grim Forecast for Corporate Earnings
Slobodan Lekic / Associated Press:
Afghanistan Signs Its First Oil Contract - With China
Discussion: Weasel Zippers
James Pethokoukis / The Enterprise Blog:
The Santorum Surge: Using tax policy as pro-family, pro-natalism social policy
Charles P. Pierce / Esquire:
The America Willard and Our Mr. Brooks Care Not to See
Economist:
Marginal revolutionaries
Discussion: EconLog and Marginal Revolution
Tim Mak / The Politico:
Eric Holder: More cops slain by illegal guns
 Earlier Items: 
Scott Neuman / NPR:
Congress Really Is As Bad As You Think, Scholars Say
BBC:
Priests brawl in Bethlehem's Church of the Nativity
John Hinderaker / Power Line:
Is the Obama Boomlet Over?
Linda Greenhouse / Opinionator:
What We Think About When We Think About the Court