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3:05 PM ET, October 25, 2016

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Jennifer Duffy / The Cook Political Report:
Senate Democrats Poised to Pick Up 5-7 Seats  —  Senate Republicans had been doing a pretty solid job of maintaining their distance from GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump by running their own campaign that focused largely on more local issues or those issues that motivate their base.
RELATED:
Stuart Rothenberg / Washington Post:   House wave still looking more like a ripple for Democrats
Michael Barbaro / New York Times:
What Drives Donald Trump?  Fear of Losing Status, Tapes Show  —  By any measure, Arsenio Hall was a Hollywood success: He had starred in popular films, packed houses as a stand-up comic and hosted a hit late-night television show bearing his name.  —  Donald J. Trump saw it differently by the mid-2000s.
NBC News:
Poll: Republican Party Fractured As Hillary Clinton Maintains Solid Lead  —  Hillary Clinton's 5-point lead over Donald Trump remains virtually unchanged since last week—but after prolonged in-fighting among GOP party leaders, a majority of Republicans and Republican-leaning voters (57 percent) …
RELATED:
Erik Sandoval / WKMG:
WATCH LIVE: Thousands expected at Donald Trump rally in Sanford
Discussion: The Gateway Pundit
Harper Neidig / The Hill:
Poll: GOP voters trust Trump more than Ryan to lead party
Marc Caputo / Politico:
Florida spirals away from Trump  —  From polling to early voting trends to TV ad spending to ground game, Donald Trump's Florida fortunes are beginning to look so bleak that some Republicans are steeling themselves for what could be the equivalent of a “landslide” loss in the nation's biggest battleground state.
RELATED:
Marc Caputo / Politico:
Florida Democrats poised to overtake Republicans in early votes
Joseph Weber / Fox News:
Early voting suggests tight race in key states despite Clinton camp boast
Discussion: The Point, WND and LifeZette
Ian Millhiser / ThinkProgress:
Donald Trump has no idea what Obamacare does  —  Trump spouts the classiest, most luxurious word salad you've ever heard.  —  Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's employees are having a “tremendous problem” with health plans they don't actually have.
RELATED:
Matthew Yglesias / Vox:
To work as intended, Obamacare needs a bigger, more unpopular mandate
Discussion: Washington Post
RELATED:
Kelsey Sutton / Politico:
Trump: ‘I have no interest in Trump TV’
Larry O'Connor / Hot Air:
Jay Z will headline a concert for Hillary; Here are some of the vile things he's rapped about women  —  The Hillary Clinton campaign announced yesterday that recording mogul Jay Z will headline a concert on behalf of their African-American get out the vote effort, according to CNN.
Discussion: CNN, twitchy.com and BuzzFeed
RELATED:
CBS Philly:
Police: Homes Near Sen. Pat Toomey's Vandalized With Anti-GOP Messages  —  UPPER MILFORD Twp., Pa. — A pair of homes were vandalized, with anti-GOP messages in Zionsville, Pa. near the residence of Senator Pat Toomey in Lehigh County, who is currently battling challenger Katie McGinty for his seat.
RELATED:
Alexandra Jaffe / NBC News:
Pennsylvania Sen. Pat Toomey Still Won't Answer Trump Question
Discussion: CNBC
Jeet Heer / New Republic:
The Right Is Giving Up on Democracy  —  It's not just Donald Trump and his fans who think the system is rigged.  —  The single most ominous thing that Donald Trump said in all three presidential debates was a misguided attempt at a quip: “I'll keep you in suspense, okay?”
Discussion: Forbes and Lawyers, Guns & Money
Ari Berman / The Nation:
A CITY CLERK OPPOSED AN EARLY-VOTING SITE AT UW-GREEN BAY BECAUSE ‘STUDENTS LEAN MORE TOWARD THE DEMOCRATS’  —  New e-mails released to The Nation reveal ongoing GOP attempts to suppress the vote.  —  By ,  —  Students wait in long lines to register and vote at UW-Eau Claire Davies Center on Tuesday, April 5, 2016.
Numbers / Pew Research Center:
Oversampling is used to study small groups, not bias poll results  —  Every election year, questions arise about how polling techniques and practices might skew poll results one way or the other.  In the final weeks before this year's election, the practice of “oversampling” …
Discussion: The Huffington Post
Kenneth Lipp / The Daily Beast:
AT&T Is Spying on Americans for Profit  —  On Nov. 11, 2013, Victorville, California, sheriff's deputies and a coroner responded to a motorcyclist's report of human remains outside of town.  —  They identified the partially bleached skull of a child, and later discovered the remains …
Discussion: Hit & Run and Consumerist
Hadas Gold / Politico:
Breitbart coordinated with liberal activist and organizer who disrupted GOP primary campaign events  —  A liberal activist and organizer coordinated with reporters from the conservative news site Breitbart during the primaries to cover his disruptions of events for candidates such as Sen. Marco Rubio.
Allegra Kirkland / Talking Points Memo:
Trump Spent $300K Of Donor Money On Books From ‘Art Of The Deal’ Publisher  —  It looks like Donald Trump's book sales got a boost from his own presidential campaign.  —  The Republican nominee directed $300,000 of small donors' money to the publisher of his bestselling business book …
Brian Beutler / New Republic:
Obama Was Right About Republican Extremism All Along  —  They should've listened to his warnings about the dangers of right-wing rhetoric.  Now they're going to pay for it.  —  It has been a long time since a popular, term-limited president has campaigned vigorously on behalf of his presumptive heir.
Discussion: Business Insider
Jeffrey Toobin / New Yorker:
Clarence Thomas's Twenty-Five Years Without Footprints  —  This month marks the twenty-fifth anniversary of Clarence Thomas's confirmation to the Supreme Court.  Conservatives like Thomas have dominated the Court throughout his tenure, and he has been in the majority in all of their victories.
Discussion: Althouse
Michael Gross / The Daily Beast:
Inside Donald Trump's One-Stop Parties: Attendees Recall Cocaine and Very Young Models  —  The morals of Donald J. Trump, as a longtime model lover and then a modeling agency owner, were forged in another era, one in which young girls were used as a sort of currency between men doing business with one another.
Betta Stothart / Washington Post:
How angry does Donald Trump make me?  Angry enough to steal 40 Trump signs.  —  How a middle-aged mom became a political vandal. … Donald Trump campaigns in Bangor, Maine, on Oct. 15.  (Photo by Sarah Rice/Getty Images)  —  FALMOUTH, Maine — I committed a crime this month, along with two of my friends.
Discussion: Central Maine and Althouse
Pew Research Center:
The Political Environment on Social Media  —  In a political environment defined by widespread polarization and partisan animosity, even simple conversations can go awry when the subject turns to politics.  In their in-person interactions, Americans can (and often do) attempt to steer clear of those with whom they strongly disagree.
Discussion: Washington Post, NPR and Mashable
Jamelle Bouie / Slate:
The Most Astute Analysis of American Politics in 2016?  SNL's “Black Jeopardy!”  Sketch.  —  It had more to say about class and race than a thousand tenderly crafted portraits of the white working class.  —  For the past year, political journalists across the ideological spectrum have worked …
Discussion: IndieWire
Jeff Stein / Vox:
Bernie defended Clinton on her leaked emails — but he couldn't resist taking one shot  —  About one year ago, Bernie Sanders memorably told Hillary Clinton during a primary debate that the American people were “sick and tired of hearing about your damn emails.”  —  It appears he still thinks they are.
Discussion: Politico, AOL and New York Times
Ben Domenech / The Federalist:
The Failure Of American Institutions, Not Of Conservatism, Made Donald Trump Possible  —  The Washington Free Beacon's Matthew Continetti argues at length in an essay published Friday that populism has displaced conservatism in the Republican Party, creating a crisis for the conservative intellectual class …
Discussion: Washington Post
 
 
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 More Items: 
Adrian Florido / NPR:
Attempting To Woo Latino Voters, Marco Rubio Gets Booed At Orlando Festival
Discussion: Daily Kos
Rob Tornoe / Philly.com:
Friday violence as teen mob attacks Temple students, police; four arrested
Danielle Keeton-Olsen / Talking Points Memo:
Clinton Leads By Eight Points In Siena/NYT Upshot North Carolina Poll
Melissa Leon / The Daily Beast:
‘The Walking Dead’ Just Isn't Fun Anymore
Discussion: Shakesville and USA Today
Pippa Norris / Washington Post:
How will Trump supporters react if he loses?
Discussion: Guardian
 Earlier Items: 
Patrick Svitek / The Texas Tribune:
Top Hispanic Republican in Texas says he will vote for Clinton
Discussion: Politicus USA
Dana Milbank / Washington Post:
The lap dogs of democracy who didn't bark at Trump
Jim Hoft / The Gateway Pundit:
WOW! Tim Kaine Holds Rally and ONLY 30 PEOPLE Show Up!
Discussion: twitchy.com, TruthFeed and The Week
Lukas Mikelionis / Heat Street:
Left-Wing Berkeley Protesters Demand ‘Spaces of Color’, Harass White Students Trying to Pass