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4:50 PM ET, November 1, 2021

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Sabato's Crystal Ball:
A Last Word on Virginia  —  Dear Readers: Join us Thursday, Nov. 4 from 6:30 p.m. to 8 p.m. for our annual American Democracy Conference.  The virtual event will begin with a presentation by Project Home Fire's Larry Schack and Mick McWilliams on our ongoing polling and data analytics project.
RELATED:
Bob Barnard / WTTG-TV:
FOX 5 EXCLUSIVE: Youngkin ahead of McAuliffe in FOX 5 exclusive Virginia gubernatorial race poll  —  FOX 5 EXCLUSIVE: Exclusive new poll shows Youngkin ahead of McAuliffe in Virginia's gubernatorial race  —  The results of an exclusive new poll reveal just how close Virginia's gubernatorial …
Brian Schwartz / CNBC:
Frustrated Democratic donors threaten to hold back midterm donations over infighting in Congress, tight Virginia race  — Several major Democratic donors have warned leaders in Congress that they may hold back on donations for next year's midterm elections unless the party can get some big wins.
Jeff Greenfield / Politico:
Virginia Buries an Enduring Political Myth  —  The political universe Tuesday night will look a lot like the start of a NASCAR auto race, with the Virginia governor's election serving as the starting gun for the next year — or two or three — of campaign diagnostics.
Byron York / Washington Examiner:
Byron York's Daily Memo: Note to Democrats: It's not 2020 anymore
Discussion: HotAir
Politico:
Last-ditch fight for Black votes could swing Virginia
Wall Street Journal:
A Dirty Campaign Trick in Virginia
Discussion: Power Line and New York Times
Cleve R. Wootson Jr / Washington Post:
Virginia went big for Biden, but on eve of another pivotal election, many voters say Democrats have not delivered for them
Marist Poll:
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist National Poll: Trust in Elections, Threat to Democracy, Biden Approval, November 2021  —  Americans See a Serious Threat to Democracy; Trust Elections Largely on Partisan Basis  —  A majority of Americans (62%) say they will trust the results of the 2024 election …
RELATED:
Max Greenwood / The Hill:
More Democrats in new poll want someone other than Biden as party's presidential nominee
Discussion: RedState
PBS NewsHour:   As Election Day nears, most U.S. adults say future of democracy is under threat
Domenico Montanaro / NPR:
Most Americans trust elections are fair, but sharp divides exist, a new poll finds
Washington Post:
Manchin calls on Democrats to slow down on $1.75 trillion spending package, putting imminent House vote in jeopardy  —  West Virginia Democrat raised concerns about debt and inflation and demanded that House lawmakers approve a separate infrastructure bill.  —  Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.) …
RELATED:
Bill Scher / HotAir:
Taking the infrastructure bill hostage didn't work
Allahpundit / HotAir:
Whoa: Manchin slams the brakes on reconciliation, tells House to stop holding the bipartisan infrastructure bill hostage
Ian Millhiser / Vox:
An unusual alliance appears likely to fracture Texas's abortion ban  —  Most of the justices seem to understand that SB 8 is a direct attack on the Constitution.  —  The abortion providers suing to block SB 8, Texas's aggressive anti-abortion law, came into Monday's Supreme Court argument with four votes on their side.
RELATED:
Adam Liptak / New York Times:
Supreme Court Appears Open to Letting Providers Challenge Texas Abortion Law  —  The Supreme Court heard two challenges on Monday to the law, which bars most abortions in Texas after about six weeks of pregnancy.  The first was brought by abortion providers in Texas, and the second was brought by the Justice Department.
Fox News:
Texas abortion law: Supreme Court hears oral arguments
Sara Fischer / Axios:
Big Tech finally reckons with climate denialism  —  Tech companies are cracking down on climate misinformation ahead of this year's United Nations COP26 climate summit, in an effort to get ahead of an expected surge in climate misinformation during the global conference.
RELATED:
Sarah D. / Twitchy:   Axios is pleased to report that Twitter will “pre-bunk' climate misinformation,' i.e. any inconvenient truths that hurt preferred climate change narrative
Sara Fischer / Axios:
Exclusive: Twitter takes aim at climate misinformation during COP26
Discussion: Protocol
Ken Dilanian / NBC News:
Gun dealers sell parts, ammo using anti-Biden meme 'Let's go, Brandon'  —  It arose from a crowd chant at the NASCAR racetrack in Talladega, Ala.  —  Gun dealers are marketing weapon parts and ammunition using a right-wing slogan widely understood as code for profanity directed at President Joe Biden.
Discussion: Townhall and Twitchy
RELATED:
Tim Miller / The Bulwark:
Donald Trump Is Now the Odds-On Favorite to Be President in 2025  —  Be very afraid.  —  So Donald Trump is now the odds-on favorite to be president of the United States in 2025.  —  I know that lede sentence was also the headline, but I wanted you to read it one more time just to let it really settle …
Juan Williams / The Hill:
‘Parents’ rights' is code for white race politics  —  After white supremacists spilled blood in defense of keeping up Confederate statues in 2017, the GOP candidate for governor of Virginia, Ed Gillespie, said the monuments should stay up as a matter of heritage and history.
RELATED:
Jeremiah Poff / Washington Examiner:
Juan Williams says ‘parents’ rights' is ‘code’ for racism and defends NSBA domestic terrorists letter
Discussion: Fox News
Natasha Khan / Wall Street Journal:
China Locks 30,000 Visitors Inside Shanghai Disneyland After One Guest Got Covid-19  —  Guests are required to take coronavirus test to exit after a positive case shuts down the park  —  HONG KONG—Shanghai Disneyland was temporarily shut down from Sunday after a visitor was found to be Covid-19-positive …
Discussion: CBS News, TheBlaze, NPR and ABC7
Richard Hanania / Richard Hanania's Newsletter:
Liberals Read, Conservatives Watch TV  —  Explaining why Trump emerged on the right, why only liberals debate filibuster reform, how anti-vax became a partisan issue, how David Shor is half right, “Dems are the real racists” and much else. … How are conservatives and liberals different?
The Atlantic:
What Will Drive China to War?  —  President Xi Jinping declared in July that those who get in the way of China's ascent will have their “heads bashed bloody against a Great Wall of steel.”  The People's Liberation Army Navy is churning out ships at a rate not seen since World War II …
Terry Jones / Issues & Insights:
I&I/TIPP Poll: Just 42% Now Think Biden Is ‘Mentally Sharp’  —  Concerns about President Joe Biden's mental abilities have gone mainstream.  —  Although the press has largely overlooked Biden's gaffes, his disastrous performance at a decidedly friendly CNN townhall prompted the Wall Street Journal …
Ron Kampeas / Jewish Telegraphic Agency:
Trump: Until recently Israel ‘literally owned Congress’ — and that was a good thing  —  (JTA) — Former President Donald Trump told a conservative Jewish radio host that Israel until recently “literally owned Congress,” a claim similar to those that have triggered accusations of antisemitism against other politicians.
Discussion: Raw Story and Mediaite
Lindsay Ellis / Chronicle of Higher Education:
U. of Florida's Accreditor Will Investigate Denial of Professors' Voting-Rights Testimony  —  The University of Florida's accreditor plans to investigate the flagship campus over the revelation that administrators denied three professors' requests to serve as paid experts in a voting-rights lawsuit.
Discussion: Washington Post, Daily Kos and Reason
 
 
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 More Items: 
Batya Ungar-Sargon / Common Sense with Bari Weiss:
How Journalism Abandoned the Working Class
Hunter Woodall / Star Tribune:
Leading Minnesota Democrats skip campaigning against policing question
Eli Yokley / Morning Consult:
A Year Ahead of the Midterms, Suburban Erosion Has Driven Biden's State-by-State Decline
The Boston Globe:
A CITY ON THE BRINK OF HISTORY
George Joseph / Gothamist:
Judge Tosses Staten Island Man's Conviction Following NYPD Drug Planting Allegations
Roger Kimball / Real Clear Politics:
The January 6 Insurrection Hoax
Discussion: Althouse
 Earlier Items: 
Virginia Aabram / Washington Examiner:
Sleepy Joe: Biden appears to nod off during climate conference opening remarks
Glenn Youngkin / Fox News:
Parents matter in education - Virginia election will decide fate of students, schools
Discussion: Breitbart
Los Angeles Times:
The day Alec Baldwin shot Halyna Hutchins and Joel Souza
Mike Pearl / The Daily Beast:
This Is Where the First Climate Wars Will Break Out
David A. Graham / The Atlantic:
Josh Mandel Might Be Craven Enough to Win