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9:55 PM ET, November 5, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Benjamin Wallace-Wells / New Yorker:
Why Republican Insiders Think the G.O.P. Is Poised for a Blowout  —  The consensus among pollsters and consultants is this Tuesday's election will be a “bloodbath” for the Democratic Party.  —  On Wednesday afternoon, I spoke with a leading Republican political consultant about the Senate campaign in Georgia.
RELATED:
Politico:
Manchin-Biden coal clash highlights Democratic divisions at a perilous moment  —  Joe Manchin clashed Saturday with President Joe Biden over the politics of coal — a poorly timed breach between a pair of Democratic heavyweights just three days before voters head to the polls.
New York Times:
Trump, Biden and Obama Will Campaign in Pennsylvania in Midterm Finale
Alex Gangitano / The Hill:
Biden on people calling him a socialist: ‘Give me a break, what idiots’
Washington Post:
U.S. privately asks Ukraine to show it's open to negotiate with Russia  —  The encouragement is aimed not at pushing Ukraine to the negotiating table, but ensuring it maintains a moral high ground in the eyes of its international backers  —  The Biden administration is privately encouraging Ukraine's leaders …
Paul Farhi / Washington Post:
NBC retracts erroneous Paul Pelosi story that fueled conspiracy theories  —  People at the network said the ‘Today’ show report was based on ‘unreliable’ information from a source who was unnamed in the story.  —  NBC News reporter Miguel Almaguer had what seemed like a scoop on Friday …
New York Times:
How Republicans Fed a Misinformation Loop About the Pelosi Attack  —  Suggested Mr. Pelosi knew his attacker. Suggested the attack involved male prostitution. Repeated a false report that the attacker was in his underwear. Suggested Mr. Pelosi knew his attacker. Suggested the attack involved male prostitution. Repeated a false report
TMZ.com:
Aaron Carter Dead at 34  —  EXCLUSIVE  — 205K … UPDATE  —  4:53 PM PT — Aaron's fiancé, Melanie Martin, tells TMZ ... “My fiancé Aaron Carter has passed away.  I love Aaron with all my heart and it's going to be a journey to raise a son without a father.
Hannah Sampson / Washington Post:
Ron DeSantis, who denounced Disney, actually got married there  —  The Florida governor passed a law in April to revoke Disney's special taxing status  —  Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) has been on the offense against the Walt Disney Co. for months, criticizing the entertainment giant …
Discussion: Twitchy, Occupy Democrats and Insider
Des Moines Register:
Iowa Poll: Chuck Grassley widens lead over Mike Franken in US Senate race  —  Brianne Pfannenstiel Stephen Gruber-MillerDes Moines Register  —  Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley has gained a double-digit lead over Democrat Mike Franken in the closing days of Iowa's U.S. Senate race, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
Discussion: Fox News and Vox
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
Polling Averages Can Be Useful, but What's Underneath Has Changed  —  This year, a wave of polls from Republican-leaning firms is driving the averages.  —  The polls show Republicans gaining heading into the final stretch.  They've pulled ahead on the generic ballot in the race for the House …
Rachel Metz / CNN:
With Twitter in chaos, Mastodon is on fire  —  Will Twitter advertiser dollars affect Musk's promise to Trump?  —  Inside Musk's Twitter, Musk echoes Donald Trump, and an antitrust earthquake  —  The dangers of TikTok as a news source, MrBeast's billions, and mortgage rates top 7%
Jazmine Ulloa / New York Times:
In Arizona, Kari Lake Worked in Local TV News.  Now, She Calls Reporters ‘Monsters.’  —  Former friends and colleagues of Ms. Lake, the Republican nominee for governor, say they remember her far differently from the candidate they see today.  —  One longtime former co-worker …
Miami Herald:
Assailant encouraged GOP canvasser to ‘do your job’ — raising questions about Rubio's account  —  The man accused of a politically motivated attack on a Republican Party canvasser in Hialeah last month actually encouraged the canvasser to keep handing out fliers just moments before the fight started …
Discussion: Raw Story
Alex Gangitano / The Hill:
Obama says 'we'd have a very different Supreme Court' if Dems had kept the Senate in 2014  —  Former President Obama on Saturday said that the makeup of the Supreme Court would be very different if Democrats had held onto the Senate in the 2014 midterms, laying out the importance of this midterm cycle …
Charles / PollsAndVotes:
Pre-election polling trends  —  Here is my look at the pre-election polling, as of Nov. 5, 2022.  —  The raw polling data is from FiveThirtyEight.com, who generously allow download of their polling database.  The trends are my estimates and not those of FiveThirtyEight or anyone else.
Maureen Dowd / New York Times:
The Marjorie Taylor Greene-ing of America  —  WASHINGTON — Are we ready for our new Republican overlords?  —  Are we ready for an empowered Marjorie Taylor Greene?  —  Are we ready for a pumped-up, pistol-packing Lauren Boebert?  —  “How many AR-15s do you think Jesus would have had?”
Discussion: Axios, Sputnik News and The Hill
Hayley Dixon / Telegraph:
Trans criminals can use ‘loophole’ to hide previous convictions when applying for jobs  —  Report by Keep Prisons Single Sex warns the system could be ‘abused’ by those wanting to gain access to children and vulnerable young people  —  Criminals who claim they are transgender are able to use a …
Rosie Gray / New York Times:
The Unruly Heirs of Sarah Palin  —  Whether for her pathbreaking role as the first woman on a Republican presidential ticket or for rapping “Baby Got Back” on the Masked Singer, Sarah Palin has, since her debut on the national scene in 2008, made an art of attracting the spotlight.
Discussion: Althouse
Jon Levine / New York Post:
Insiders say Eric Adams wouldn't be upset with Zeldin win  —  An Election Day loss for Gov. Hochul might be a win for Mayor Adams.  —  Adams is actively campaigning for Hochul and not openly supporting her GOP rival Rep. Lee Zeldin, but multiple insiders told The Post that the mayor sees …
Piper French / Bolts:
In San Francisco, “No Intention to Seek Justice”  —  San Francisco police shot Sean Moore, a Black man suffering from schizophrenia, right outside his own home.  He died three years later of his injuries.  Police say they opened fire on Luis Góngora Pat, an unhoused Mayan Mexican man …
Nico Grant / New York Times:
YouTube May Have Misinformation Blind Spots, Researchers Say  —  The video platform said it had limited the spread of misinformation ahead of Election Day, but new research showed that false narratives continued to slip through.  —  No, China has not worked with Democrats to steal the midterm elections …
Discussion: The Hill
The White House:
Statement by Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre  —  President Biden knows that the men and women of coal country built this nation: they powered its steel mills and factories, kept its homes and schools and offices warm.  They made this the most productive and powerful nation on Earth.
Patrick Marley / Washington Post:
Lawsuit seeks to block counting of military ballots in Wisconsin  —  MADISON, Wis. — A Wisconsin lawmaker who has been a frequent promoter of false election claims is suing to prevent the immediate counting of military ballots in her state after she received three ballots under fake names.
Washington Post:
Boris Epshteyn's loyalty to Trump pays off as investigations deepen  —  Pugilistic adviser has clashed with other lawyers for Donald Trump on whether to be confrontational or conciliatory  —  Few people speak to former president Donald Trump more these days than Boris Epshteyn.
Discussion: Raw Story and Wall Street Journal
 
 
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 More Items: 
Clay Risen / New York Times:
Daniel Smith, 90, Dies; Thought to Be the Last Child of an Enslaved Person
Jack Nicas / New York Times:
What Can U.S. Democracy Learn From Brazil?
Knight Foundation:
IN THE RUN-UP TO MIDTERM ELECTIONS, MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE THEY WON'T BE SWAYED BY DISINFORMATION—BUT THINK OTHERS MIGHT
Discussion: The Hill
Shan Wu / The Daily Beast:
Appointing a Special Counsel for Trump Would Be a Mistake
Discussion: Raw Story and Mediaite
Melissa Chan / NBC News:
Voters will have a say on abortion in 5 states with high-stakes ballot measures
Discussion: Deseret News
 Earlier Items: 
Jonah Goldberg / The Dispatch:
Democracy Is Not on the Ballot … Dear Reader (Including those of you who dropped your lattes),
Jonathan M. Ladd / Mischiefs of Faction:
These Two Big Unknowns Make the 2022 Midterms Unusually Unpredictable
Discussion: Telling the Future
Tallahassee Democrat:
Florida election crimes unit sends out last-minute felons-removal list, causes confusion
Sophia Cai / Axios:
Scoop: House Republicans cry politics over IRS outreach
Jeff Coltin / City & State New York:
Is gender bias hurting Kathy Hochul?
Discussion: HotAir, Twitchy and DNyuz
Shannon Pettypiece / NBC News:
Evictions are piling up across the U.S. as Covid-era protections end and rents climb
Discussion: The Colorado Sun and MLive.com
Marisa Kabas / MSNBC:
Women under 25 could be the MVPs of the midterms
Discussion: Bloomberg, RedState and Daily Kos
Patrick Gillespie / Bloomberg:
Argentina's Kirchner Stokes Speculation On Presidential Run
 

 
From Techmeme:

Mark Gurman / Bloomberg:
Sources: Apple and OpenAI are preparing a major announcement of their partnership at WWDC; the new AirTag with a better chip is scheduled to arrive by mid-2025

Renee DiResta / The Guardian:
How a rightwing smear campaign against NPR and its CEO Katherine Maher, who is on Signal Foundation's board, led Elon Musk to malign Signal

Sam Altman / @sama:
Sam Altman says he is embarrassed that there was a provision about potential equity cancellation in exit docs, and OpenAI never took back anyone's vested equity

 
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