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11:50 PM ET, February 5, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
The Campaign Spot:
The Great Big Early Exit Poll Report  —  I just got a big pile of exit poll data.  —  The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent.  —  Fascinating and fun as it is, I remind my readers that this doesn't tell us that much, as we don't know what the district-by-district breakdown is.
RELATED:
Matt Stoller / Open Left:
Early Exit Poll Rumors  —  (See the Republican numbers here - promoted by Chris Bowers)  —  Here you go.  I have no idea how reliable these are.  —  The Obama victories are bolded.  If these are real, Obama has thrashed Clinton today.  —  Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26  —  Connecticut: Obama 52, Clinton 45
The Campaign Spot:
Latest Exits Include One Massive ‘Wow.’ I Mean, ‘WOW.’  —  Here's a later round of exits.  It includes an absolute shocker that, I suspect, will have Hugh Hewitt jumping out of his chair...  Arizona: McCain 36 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 7 percent.
CNN:
McCain pads lead, Democrats split delegates  —  (CNN) — Sen. John McCain was padding his lead in the race for Republican delegates, while Sens. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama were running fairly even on the Democratic side.  —  McCain claimed victory in New Jersey and New York, with 153 delegates between them.
Mitt Romney For President News:
Campaign Manager Beth Myers On The West Virginia Convention  —  FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE  —  Boston, MA - Today, Romney for President Campaign Manager Beth Myers issued the following statement regarding the outcome of West Virginia's Republican Party convention:
Marc Ambinder:
West Virginia Intrigue  —  After the first round of balloting in West Virginia, Mitt Romney was solidly in the lead with 41% of the votes, followed by Mike Huckabee with 33% and John McCain with 16%.  —  Since 50% is needed to win all 18 delegates, a second balloting is underway.
CNN:
Schneider: Conservatives seem split, Could be long night for Dems  —  NEW YORK (CNN) — The first round of exit polls from Republican and Democratic primaries across the country are providing some early signs on what trends are at play, and how the night may go.
Jennifer Parker / ABCNEWS:
Obama Overwhelmingly Wins Georgia Primary  —  Democratic White House Contenders Aim for Votes, Delegates in 22 States  —  In the first win of what is expected to be a long night, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., defeated Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., in Georgia, a key Southern state …
Associated Press:
Early Feb. 5 Exit Poll Highlights
The Campaign Spot:
Early Exit Polls in Massachusetts: Dems Close, Romney Up Big
Live Coverage:
Clinton Wins in Northeast to Take Early Lead
Discussion: Hotline On Call
MSNBC:
Clinton takes N.Y., Mass.
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
CBS News:
Obama Defeats Clinton In Georgia Primary
Discussion: Marc Ambinder and Spin Cycle
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
DEM EXITS, SECOND WAVE  —  These are the second wave exits.  Not certain whether or not they're weighted.  Assume they're not.  —  GA: C- 25.5, O - 75  —  CT: C - 45, O - 52.2  —  IL: C - 29.1, O - 69.6  —  AL: C - 37, O - 59.6  —  DE: C - 41.9, O - 55.6
RELATED:
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
SUPER TUESDAY LIVE BLOGGING  —  We are live blogging tonight and posting the most recent estimates for each race derived from the official public exit poll tabulations as they are posted online.  The table will update regularly (though you will need to reload the page to see updates) …
Marc Ambinder:
A Note On Exit Polls
Discussion: Hotline On Call
Bryan / Hot Air:
Rush Limbaugh *endorses Mitt Romney  —  Levin, Hannity, Ingraham and now Nobel nominee Rush Limbaugh (membership req'd): Big talk radio swings unanimously for Mitt Romney.  Rush makes several solid points that you've heard before, mostly regarding how McCain represents the GOP's national security wing …
RELATED:
Domenico Montanaro / MSNBC:
CLINTON ‘TALKING POINTS’ MEMO  —  From NBC's Mark Murray  —  The Clinton campaign just sent “talking points” to its national press list — the first time we believe they have done this.  —  TALKING POINTS  —  February 5, 2008  —  SUPER TUESDAY TALKING POINTS  —  SUPER TUESDAY
Discussion: Spin Cycle
The Politico:
Berman's count: 606-534  —  David Plouffe, on a conference call just now, offered the Obama campaign's estimate of where they stand at this moment in terms of delegates.  —  “We are, in terms of delegates, ahead currently: about 606 to 534, in terms of pledged delegates awarded tonight,” he said.
Sam Stein / The Huffington Post:
Clinton Accepts Fox News Debate  —  Risking the ire of progressive activists, Sen. Hillary Clinton's campaign announced that it has accepted a debate to air on Fox News on February 11, according to her chief strategist Mark Penn.  —  “There is an enormous interest in these debates an clamoring …
RELATED:
Ben / Think Progress:
Anti-War Candidates Are Top Recipients Of '08 Donations From U.S. Troops  —  Conservatives opposed to redeployment in Iraq have consistently claimed that U.S. troops are on their side: … Yet U.S. troops disagree.  Yesterday, the Center for Responsive Politics reported that members …
Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:
The Coming Meltdown For The Democrats  —  Early in the race, Republicans appeared headed to a brokered convention.  GOP primary voters couldn't decide on a front-runner, and it looked like three or even four candidates could make it to the national convention with significant numbers of delegates, touching off a floor fight.
Discussion: Open Left
 
 
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 More Items: 
Matthew Yglesias:
Romney's Speech  —  I believe I've noted before that I like Mitt Romney.
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Associated Press:
Clinton Wins American Samoa Caucus
Discussion: The Field and MyDD
Jeralyn / TalkLeft:
Live-Blogging My Colorado Caucus
Mary Katharine Ham / TownHall Blog:
The Huckabee Dilemma
Discussion: The Opinionator and MyDD
Brad DeLong / Grasping Reality with Both Hands:
I Just Voted for Barack Obama...
Discussion: Discourse.net
Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:
Caucus Live Blog
CNN:
Voters turn out in droves
Discussion: The Crone Speaks
Nicole Belle / Crooks and Liars:
Whither Limbaugh and Coulter Goest...
 Earlier Items: 
The New Republic:
Subprime  —  Hillary's disastrous proposal to solve the mortgage crisis.
Larisa Alexandrovna / At-Largely:
60 Minutes Caves to Pressure from White House on Siegelman Story...
Discussion: The Newshoggers and CANNONFIRE
Z. Byron Wolf / ABCNEWS:
Ron Paul '08: A Revolution Thwarted?
Victor Davis Hanson / The Corner:
The Die Has Been Cast
Darren Murph / Engadget:
Fourth undersea cable cut near UAE, suspicions rise
Jonathan Schwarz / A Tiny Revolution:
Lie After Lie: What Exactly Colin Powell Knew Five Years Ago Today …
Brian Knowlton / New York Times:
Intelligence Chief Cites Qaeda Threat to U.S.