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1:10 AM ET, February 6, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
The Campaign Spot:
The Great Big Early Exit Poll Report  —  I just got a big pile of exit poll data.  —  The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent.  —  Fascinating and fun as it is, I remind my readers that this doesn't tell us that much, as we don't know what the district-by-district breakdown is.
RELATED:
The Campaign Spot:
Latest Exits Include One Massive ‘Wow.’ I Mean, ‘WOW.’  —  Here's a later round of exits.  It includes an absolute shocker that, I suspect, will have Hugh Hewitt jumping out of his chair...  Arizona: McCain 36 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 7 percent.
Matt Stoller / Open Left:
Early Exit Poll Rumors  —  (See the Republican numbers here - promoted by Chris Bowers)  —  Here you go.  I have no idea how reliable these are.  —  The Obama victories are bolded.  If these are real, Obama has thrashed Clinton today.  —  Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26  —  Connecticut: Obama 52, Clinton 45
CNN:
McCain pads lead, Democrats split delegates  —  (CNN) — Sen. John McCain was padding his lead in the race for Republican delegates, while Sens. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama were running fairly even on the Democratic side.  —  McCain claimed victory in New Jersey and New York, with 153 delegates between them.
CNN:
Schneider: Conservatives seem split, Could be long night for Dems  —  NEW YORK (CNN) — The first round of exit polls from Republican and Democratic primaries across the country are providing some early signs on what trends are at play, and how the night may go.
Marc Ambinder:
West Virginia Intrigue  —  After the first round of balloting in West Virginia, Mitt Romney was solidly in the lead with 41% of the votes, followed by Mike Huckabee with 33% and John McCain with 16%.  —  Since 50% is needed to win all 18 delegates, a second balloting is underway.
MSNBC:
Clinton, Obama split spoils  —  Victory in largest state is biggest prize as Clinton takes most big states  —  Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton greets supports as she enters her Super Tuesday primary night rally in New York.  —  Live video  —  LIVE MSNBC TV
Mitt Romney For President News:
Campaign Manager Beth Myers On The West Virginia Convention
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
DEM EXITS, SECOND WAVE  —  These are the second wave exits.  Not certain whether or not they're weighted.  Assume they're not.  —  GA: C- 25.5, O - 75  —  CT: C - 45, O - 52.2  —  IL: C - 29.1, O - 69.6  —  AL: C - 37, O - 59.6  —  DE: C - 41.9, O - 55.6
RELATED:
Domenico Montanaro / MSNBC:
CLINTON ‘TALKING POINTS’ MEMO  —  From NBC's Mark Murray  —  The Clinton campaign just sent “talking points” to its national press list — the first time we believe they have done this.  —  TALKING POINTS  —  February 5, 2008  —  SUPER TUESDAY TALKING POINTS  —  SUPER TUESDAY
Discussion: Spin Cycle
Jennifer Parker / ABCNEWS:
Obama Overwhelmingly Wins Georgia Primary  —  Democratic White House Contenders Aim for Votes, Delegates in 22 States  —  In the first win of what is expected to be a long night, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., defeated Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., in Georgia, a key Southern state …
Chris Cillizza / Live Coverage:
Clinton And Obama Trade Victories in Super Tuesday Showdown
Discussion: Hotline On Call
The Politico:
Berman's count: 606-534  —  David Plouffe, on a conference call just now, offered the Obama campaign's estimate of where they stand at this moment in terms of delegates.  —  “We are, in terms of delegates, ahead currently: about 606 to 534, in terms of pledged delegates awarded tonight,” he said.
RELATED:
Ari Melber / The Nation:
OBAMA CAMPAIGN PROJECTS 72 DELEGATE LEAD (FOR NOW)...
Discussion: All Spin Zone
Andy McCarthy / The Corner:
Re: The Die Has Been Cast  —  Remember the Clinton years?  We should — we may be on the verge of reliving them.  But I recall being most frustrated when some anti-Clinton zealot would claim the president had ordered an assassination or run cocaine through Mena Airport.
Discussion: TBogg
RELATED:
Victor Davis Hanson / The Corner:
The Die Has Been Cast
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
SUPER TUESDAY LIVE BLOGGING  —  We are live blogging tonight and posting the most recent estimates for each race derived from the official public exit poll tabulations as they are posted online.  The table will update regularly (though you will need to reload the page to see updates) …
Gallup:
Gallup Daily: Tracking Election 2008  —  Based on daily polling from Feb. 2-4, 2008  —  PRINCETON, NJ — Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama remain fairly closely matched in national Democratic voters' nomination preferences, although Clinton appears to have stopped Obama's momentum over the past two days.
RELATED:
Associated Press:
Early Feb. 5 Exit Poll Highlights
Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:
The Coming Meltdown For The Democrats  —  Early in the race, Republicans appeared headed to a brokered convention.  GOP primary voters couldn't decide on a front-runner, and it looked like three or even four candidates could make it to the national convention with significant numbers of delegates, touching off a floor fight.
Matthew Yglesias:
Romney's Speech  —  I believe I've noted before that I like Mitt Romney.  Like not just in a typical liberal “I want our guy to run against the Mormon” kind of way.  I like him!  I think he'd be a better president than John McCain.  I voted for him in Massachusetts in 2002.
Discussion: Washington Monthly
 
 
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 More Items: 
Paul Farhi / Washington Post:
CNN Hits The Wall for the Election
Discussion: TV Decoder
Kevin Drum / Washington Monthly:
CALIFORNIA....Hmmm.  Exit polling suggests that Hillary Clinton …
Discussion: The Opinionator
John O'Sullivan / The Corner:
On Immigration  —  Just a brief diversion from tonight's main topic.
Ross Douthat:
Huckabee's Bright(er) Future
Discussion: Eunomia and The American Scene
Associated Press:
Clinton Wins American Samoa Caucus
Discussion: The Field, MyDD and Wake up America
Jeralyn / TalkLeft:
Live-Blogging My Colorado Caucus
Mary Katharine Ham / TownHall Blog:
The Huckabee Dilemma
Discussion: The Opinionator and MyDD
Brad DeLong / Grasping Reality with Both Hands:
I Just Voted for Barack Obama...
Discussion: Discourse.net
 Earlier Items: 
Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:
Caucus Live Blog
CNN:
Voters turn out in droves
Discussion: The Crone Speaks
Nicole Belle / Crooks and Liars:
Whither Limbaugh and Coulter Goest...
The New Republic:
Subprime  —  Hillary's disastrous proposal to solve the mortgage crisis.
Z. Byron Wolf / ABCNEWS:
Ron Paul '08: A Revolution Thwarted?
Darren Murph / Engadget:
Fourth undersea cable cut near UAE, suspicions rise
Sam Stein / The Huffington Post:
Clinton Accepts Fox News Debate