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1:55 AM ET, April 23, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
The Campaign Spot:
On the Verge of a Stunner in Pennsylvania?  —  Hold on to your hats.  I've gotten the usual word of the exit poll results from one of my usual reliable sources.  He notes that Obama traditionally over-performs in the earliest exit polls, and that he expects the numbers to change as the night wears on - perhaps a reversal.
RELATED:
Gary Langer / ABCNEWS:
EXIT POLLS: Negative Campaign Tarnishes Clinton, Obama  —  Preliminary Exit Polls Show Few Last-Minute Deciders in Pennsylvania Primary  —  Despite all the down-to-the-wire campaigning, preliminary exit poll results indicate that nearly eight in 10 Pennsylvania voters made up their minds …
Jennifer Parker / ABCNEWS:
Dems Fight On; Clinton Wins PA Primary  —  Despite Delegate Lead, Obama Can't Seem To Lock Up Democratic Nomination  —  Sen. Hillary Clinton has won the Pennsylvania primary vote as expected, ABC News has projected.  —  Clinton has led polls in the state, and her win now fuels questions …
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
LIVE BLOGGING PENNSYLVANIA EXIT POLLS AND VOTE RETURNS  —  I will be live-blogging here starting very soon on what the exit polls will have to tell us about the exit polls.  More details to follow, but please feel free to use this as an open-thread on what is appearing on the net and elsewhere on the exit polls.
Fernando Suarez / CBS News:
Clinton on Obama: “Why Can"t He Close the Deal?  "  —  From CBS News' Fernando Suarez:  —  CONSHOHOCKEN, PA. — Hillary Clinton said if Barack Obama does not win Pennsylvania despite his huge campaign war chest, people ought to ask the question, “Why can't he close the deal?”
Brendan Loy / Irish Trojan in Tennessee:
Don't trust the unweighted exit polls!  —  [UPDATE, 8:12 PM: Welcome, new readers!  The scenario I predicted in this post is now happening.  Some leaked exit poll numbers show Obama winning, others Clinton leading by a slight margin.  Regardless, it's all meaningless.
Discussion: CBS News, GayPatriot, MyDD and TalkLeft
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
EXITS: BEEN THERE, DONE THAT  —  As you may have noticed Drudge …
Discussion: AMERICAblog
New York Times:
Editorial: The Low Road to Victory  —  It is past time for Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton to acknowledge that the campaign's negativity, for which she is mostly responsible, does nothing but harm to her, her opponent, her party and the 2008 election.
Joe Bavier / Reuters:
Lynchings in Congo as penis theft panic hits capital  —  KINSHASA (Reuters) - Police in Congo have arrested 13 suspected sorcerers accused of using black magic to steal or shrink men's penises after a wave of panic and attempted lynchings triggered by the alleged witchcraft.
Discussion: Gateway Pundit
siena.edu:
Not So ‘Blue’: McCain Closing Gap vs. Clinton & Obama  —  Dems & Voters View Paterson Favorably; Split on Job Performance  —  Half of NYers Plan to Use Federal Rebate Check to Pay Bills;  —  Only One in Five Plans on Going Shopping for Something New  —  Loudonville, NY.
Discussion: Spin Cycle
RELATED:
Matthew Yglesias:
Popular Vote  —  Suppose Hillary Clinton wins a huge victory tonight …
Discussion: The Opinionator
Ross Douthat / The Current:
McCain's Peak?  —  Even with the Democratic Party locked in a fierce civil war, John McCain still hasn't pulled ahead of either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama in national polls.  —  The Democratic primary campaign - divisive, bitter, and seemingly endless - has made many Republicans optimistic …
RELATED:
National Review:
Novak: “McCain, Portman, and Victory” [Larry Kudlow]
Discussion: DownWithTyranny! and JustOneMinute
Adam Nagourney / New York Times:
The Bruising Will Go On for the Party  —  For better or worse — and many Democrats fear it is for worse — the race goes on.  —  Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton defeated Senator Barack Obama in Pennsylvania on Tuesday by enough of a margin to continue a battle that Democrats increasingly believe …
Discussion: The Huffington Post and The Page
RELATED:
Marc Ambinder:
Clinton Internet Fundraising: 100K in 20 minutes?  —  Take this with a grain of salt since it's coming from the Clinton campaign, but a senior campaign official says Clinton has raised $100,000 in 20 minutes from the Internet.
Hindrocket / Power Line:
THE FRIENDS OF BARACK OBAMA, PART 1  —  When Illinois State Senator Alice Palmer decided to retire in 1995, she hand-picked local left-winger Barack Obama as her successor.  In order to introduce Obama to influential liberals in the district, she held a function at the home of Bill Ayers and Bernadine Dohrn.
Jeralyn / TalkLeft:
Obama's Speech From Indiana  —  Barack Obama will be speaking shortly from Indiana.  I will put highlights here.  —  Barack and Michelle are dressed in black.  Mellencamp is playing.  Reportedly, Mellencamp has not endorsed Obama and will be playing at an event for both candidates in a few weeks.
Marc Ambinder:
Who Wins?  Both, And Neither  —  The bottom line for tonight: both fields of spin have within them a few grains of truth.  It's still likely that Obama wins the nomination, and it's true that his pledged delegate lead will still be in excess of 150 when tonight ends; it's true that Clinton …
Discussion: The New Republic
Matthew Yglesias:
Save Us!  —  I have to say that I'm getting really tired of this.  All the superdelegates should just say who they're voting for and bring this to the end.  If they want to back Hillary Clinton despite Obama's majority in elected delegates, they should say so.  Or if they want Barack Obama to be the nominee, they should say so.
Discussion: Hullabaloo and Obsidian Wings
Marc Ambinder:
A Note On Pledged Delegates  —  As NBC's Chuck Todd points out tonight, Clinton's chances of winning the nomination based on pledged delegates is effectively over tonight.  —  If Obama keeps his pledged delegate lead to around 150, Clinton needs to win 70% of them on May 6 — and if not, 80% of them after May 6.
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
The Near-Triumph Of Rovism  —  It's worth recalling what this primary came to be about, because of a self-conscious decision by the Clintons to adopt the tactics and politics of the people who persecuted and hounded them in the 1990s.  It was indeed in the end about smearing and labeling Obama as a far-left …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Jim Oliphant / The Swamp:
Senate shuts off the lights
Discussion: New York Times
Maureen Dowd / New York Times:
Wilting Over Waffles  —  He's never going to shake her off.
Discussion: michellemalkin.com
Hillary Clinton / MSNBC:
Projected winner
David Freddoso / The Corner:
Mighty Casey has struck out
Rowan / New Scientist Environment Blog:
Fred's Footprint: Green fascism
Discussion: Reason Magazine
Katharine Q. Seelye / The Caucus:
Live Blogging the Pa. Primary
Discussion: The Page
Roger Lowenstein / New York Times:
Triple-A Failure
 Earlier Items: 
Marc Ambinder:
Exits Suggest Obama Did Better In PA Than Ohio
Discussion: MyDD and Daily Kos
Jonathan Chait / The New Republic:
Today's Primary Thoughts
Hugh Hewitt / Townhall.com:
E.J. aand the “Republican Attack Machine”
Discussion: The Daily Dish
Noel Sheppard / NewsBusters.org:
Gore Used Fictional Video to Illustrate ‘Inconvenient Truth’
StrategyPage:
Al Qaeda Decapitated in Iraq
Josh Patashnik / The New Republic:
Mitt Romney Gets Dissed at the Supreme Court
Sonny Bunch / Weekly Standard Blog:
Mugged by Reality...  The New York Times featured an intriguing profile …