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12:50 AM ET, April 23, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
The Campaign Spot:
On the Verge of a Stunner in Pennsylvania?  —  Hold on to your hats.  I've gotten the usual word of the exit poll results from one of my usual reliable sources.  He notes that Obama traditionally over-performs in the earliest exit polls, and that he expects the numbers to change as the night wears on - perhaps a reversal.
RELATED:
Gary Langer / ABCNEWS:
EXIT POLLS: Negative Campaign Tarnishes Clinton, Obama  —  Preliminary Exit Polls Show Few Last-Minute Deciders in Pennsylvania Primary  —  Despite all the down-to-the-wire campaigning, preliminary exit poll results indicate that nearly eight in 10 Pennsylvania voters made up their minds …
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
LIVE BLOGGING PENNSYLVANIA EXIT POLLS AND VOTE RETURNS  —  I will be live-blogging here starting very soon on what the exit polls will have to tell us about the exit polls.  More details to follow, but please feel free to use this as an open-thread on what is appearing on the net and elsewhere on the exit polls.
Brendan Loy / Irish Trojan in Tennessee:
Don't trust the unweighted exit polls!  —  [UPDATE, 8:12 PM: Welcome, new readers!  The scenario I predicted in this post is now happening.  Some leaked exit poll numbers show Obama winning, others Clinton leading by a slight margin.  Regardless, it's all meaningless.
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
EXITS: BEEN THERE, DONE THAT  —  As you may have noticed Drudge …
Discussion: AMERICAblog
CNN:
Exit polls: New voters boost Obama
Discussion: The Swamp and Spin Cycle
Jennifer Parker / ABCNEWS:
Dems Fight On; Clinton Wins PA Primary  —  Despite Delegate Lead, Obama Can't Seem To Lock Up Democratic Nomination  —  Sen. Hillary Clinton has won the Pennsylvania primary vote as expected, ABC News has projected.  —  Clinton has led polls in the state, and her win now fuels questions …
RELATED:
Marc Ambinder:
Who Wins?  Both, And Neither  —  The bottom line for tonight: both fields of spin have within them a few grains of truth.  It's still likely that Obama wins the nomination, and it's true that his pledged delegate lead will still be in excess of 150 when tonight ends; it's true that Clinton …
Discussion: The New Republic
Fernando Suarez / CBS News:
Clinton on Obama: “Why Can"t He Close the Deal?  "  —  From CBS News' Fernando Suarez:  —  CONSHOHOCKEN, PA. — Hillary Clinton said if Barack Obama does not win Pennsylvania despite his huge campaign war chest, people ought to ask the question, “Why can't he close the deal?”
Mark Murray / MSNBC:
BILL: 'I'M NOT GOING TO PLAY YOUR GAMES'  —  From NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli and NBC's Mark Murray  —  At the Jewish Community Center in Pittsburgh this morning, Bill Clinton took questions from local press after shaking a lot of hands.  NBC/NJ asked him about the WHYY radio interview …
Saira Anees / Political Punch:
Why Can't Obama Win Pennsylvania?  *  —  There's this presumption out there, it seems to me, as if it's just a CRAZY notion that Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, would be able to win the Keystone State, like the idea is INSANE, just unfathomable, as if the state consists of Bill, Chelsea, and les freres Rodham.
Joe Bavier / Reuters:
Lynchings in Congo as penis theft panic hits capital  —  KINSHASA (Reuters) - Police in Congo have arrested 13 suspected sorcerers accused of using black magic to steal or shrink men's penises after a wave of panic and attempted lynchings triggered by the alleged witchcraft.
Discussion: Gateway Pundit
Marc Ambinder:
Clinton Internet Fundraising: 100K in 20 minutes?  —  Take this with a grain of salt since it's coming from the Clinton campaign, but a senior campaign official says Clinton has raised $100,000 in 20 minutes from the Internet.
National Review:
Novak: “McCain, Portman, and Victory” [Larry Kudlow]  —  Bob Novak, the highly distinguished veteran columnist and author, told the American Spectator New York dinner group last night that John McCain will defeat Barack Obama in November's election, although the Democrats will enhance their majorities in both the Senate and the House.
Discussion: DownWithTyranny! and JustOneMinute
RELATED:
Hindrocket / Power Line:
THE FRIENDS OF BARACK OBAMA, PART 1  —  When Illinois State Senator Alice Palmer decided to retire in 1995, she hand-picked local left-winger Barack Obama as her successor.  In order to introduce Obama to influential liberals in the district, she held a function at the home of Bill Ayers and Bernadine Dohrn.
Marc Ambinder:
A Note On Pledged Delegates  —  As NBC's Chuck Todd points out tonight, Clinton's chances of winning the nomination based on pledged delegates is effectively over tonight.  —  If Obama keeps his pledged delegate lead to around 150, Clinton needs to win 70% of them on May 6 — and if not, 80% of them after May 6.
Matthew Yglesias:
Save Us!  —  I have to say that I'm getting really tired of this.  All the superdelegates should just say who they're voting for and bring this to the end.  If they want to back Hillary Clinton despite Obama's majority in elected delegates, they should say so.  Or if they want Barack Obama to be the nominee, they should say so.
Discussion: Obsidian Wings
 
 
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 More Items: 
Jeralyn / TalkLeft:
Obama's Speech From Indiana
Marc Ambinder:
Sixers And Six Packs
Discussion: TalkLeft
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
The Near-Triumph Of Rovism  —  It's worth recalling …
David Freddoso / The Corner:
Mighty Casey has struck out
Discussion: protein wisdom
Rowan / New Scientist Environment Blog:
Fred's Footprint: Green fascism
Discussion: Reason Magazine
Katharine Q. Seelye / The Caucus:
Live Blogging the Pa. Primary
Discussion: The Page
Roger Lowenstein / New York Times:
Triple-A Failure
 Earlier Items: 
Matthew Yglesias:
Popular Vote  —  Suppose Hillary Clinton wins a huge victory tonight …
Marc Ambinder:
Exits Suggest Obama Did Better In PA Than Ohio
Discussion: MyDD and Daily Kos
Jonathan Chait / The New Republic:
Today's Primary Thoughts
Hugh Hewitt / Townhall.com:
E.J. aand the “Republican Attack Machine”
Discussion: The Daily Dish
siena.edu:
Not So ‘Blue’: McCain Closing Gap vs. Clinton & Obama
Discussion: Spin Cycle
StrategyPage:
Al Qaeda Decapitated in Iraq
Josh Patashnik / The New Republic:
Mitt Romney Gets Dissed at the Supreme Court
Sonny Bunch / Weekly Standard Blog:
Mugged by Reality...  The New York Times featured an intriguing profile …