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9:50 AM ET, November 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Gallup:
Final Presidential Estimate: Obama 55%, McCain 44%  —  Independents break for Obama, boosting Obama's broad Democratic base  —  PRINCETON, NJ — The final Gallup 2008 pre-election poll — based on Oct. 31-Nov. 2 Gallup Poll Daily tracking — shows Barack Obama with a 53% to 42% advantage over John McCain among likely voters.
RELATED:
John Whitesides / Reuters:
Obama leads McCain in 6 of 8 key states  —  WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in six of eight key battleground states one day before the U.S. election, including the big prizes of Florida and Ohio, according to a series of Reuters/Zogby polls released on Monday.
Zogby:
Reuters/Zogby Battleground 8-State Surveys: Obama Builds on Leads in OH And NV; Holds Margins in VA And PA  —  UTICA, New York - Reuters/Zogby telephone surveys of eight battleground states show Democrat Barack Obama in a very strong position to be elected President.
Discussion: Taegan Goddard's …
On Politics:
Final USA TODAY/Gallup estimate: Obama, 53%; McCain, 42%
Jennifer Agiesta / Washington Post:
WaPo-ABC Tracking: Advantage Obama
Discussion: The Numbers, Daily Kos and TalkLeft
Mark Steyn / The Corner:
Unreadability in the defense of liberalism is no vice  —  Ed Driscoll writes:  —  When the MSM moans about the gallons of red ink it's spilled since 2001, it needs to ask itself if it's prepared to actually report the news, in a fashion that interests readers, or if it exists as a non-profit ideological support system.
RELATED:
Carla Marinucci / San Francisco Chronicle:
Palin suggests Chronicle withheld Obama remarks  —  (11-02) 20:33 PST — Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, in a campaign appearance Sunday, criticized comments about coal technology that Sen. Barack Obama made to The Chronicle editorial board in January, and suggested that the newspaper withheld …
Peter Hamby / CNN:
Palin knocks Obama over months-old coal comments
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
The Republican Rump  —  Maybe the polls are wrong, and John McCain is about to pull off the biggest election upset in American history.  But right now the Democrats seem poised both to win the White House and to greatly expand their majorities in both houses of Congress.
RELATED:
Paul Steinhauser / CNN:
Palin costing McCain, poll suggests  —  CNN Deputy Political Director  —  WASHINGTON (CNN) — A new national poll suggests Sarah Palin may be hurting Republican presidential nominee John McCain more than she's helping him.  —  A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Sunday …
Discussion: Donklephant and The Moderate Voice
William Kristol / New York Times:
Hey Liberals, Don't Worry  —  Barack Obama will probably win the 2008 presidential election.  If he does, we conservatives will greet the news with our usual resolute stoicism or cheerful fatalism.  Being conservative means never being too surprised by disappointment.  —  But what if John McCain pulls off an upset?
Dschabner / Political Punch:
Nadler Criticizes Obama's ‘Courage’  —  Rep. Jerrold Nadler, D-NY, was down in Florida over the weekend, and one supposes that he thought he was helping Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., but it will ultimately be hard to make that case.  —  Pamela Geller at Atlas Shrugged has posted some video …
RELATED:
Times of London:
How The Times followed a trail to find Barack Obama's aunt  —  The trail that led to “Aunt Zeituni”, the relative of Barack Obama who was traced by The Times last week, started with Mr Obama's memoir, one of the most widely read political autobiographies of all time.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
What A McCain Win Looks Like...  This was by far the most common McCain victory scenario, occurring 169 times out of 10,000 simulations this afternoon:  —  ...this would be a boring ol' map.  Obama wins everything that either Al Gore or John Kerry won.  McCain wins everything else.
Jeffrey Hart / The Daily Beast:
Obama is the Real Conservative  —  Romney's Game Plan for 2012 by Tucker Carlson  —  A speechwriter for Reagan and Nixon—who worked at the National Review for four decades—on why he's voting for Obama.  —  It may be something of a surprise that, as a long time conservative, I now support Barack Obama.
RELATED:
Paul / Power Line:   INSIDE THE MIND OF AN “OBAMACON”
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
The Cellphone Effect, Continued  —  These are Barack Obama's leads in the likely voter models presently included in the Real Clear Politics average, plus the Research 2000 poll which they arbitrarily exclude.  —  The polls in the Cingular-y orange color include cellphones in their samples; the polls in gray do not.
Carl Hulse / MSNBC:
NYT: GOP races to save Congress seats  —  Republicans try to hold down expected Democratic gains in House, Senate  —  WASHINGTON - Outspent and under siege in a hostile political climate, Congressional Republicans scrambled this weekend to save embattled incumbents in an effort to hold …
Discussion: Below The Beltway
Carol D. Leonnig / Washington Post:
Effectiveness of AIG's $143 Billion Rescue Questioned  —  A number of financial experts now fear that the federal government's $143 billion attempt to rescue troubled insurance giant American International Group may not work, and some argue that company shareholders and taxpayers would have been better served by a bankruptcy filing.
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
JOE THE SKINHEAD  —  When he was just the topic du jour because of his question to Barack Obama back in the neighborhood in Ohio, that was one thing.  But “Joe the Plumber” is now actively campaigning with and for John McCain, appearing on stage with him at multiple events, etc.
RELATED:
New York Times:
U.S. Rejects G.M.'s Call for Help in a Merger  —  DETROIT — The Treasury Department has turned down a request by General Motors for up to $10 billion to help finance the automaker's possible merger with Chrysler, according to people close to the discussions.
Washington Post:
A Positively Negative Home Stretch  —  McCain, Obama Break Tradition By Staying On the Attack  —  The waning hours of the longest presidential campaign in history elicited a fresh round of stinging attacks from Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain and their supporters on Sunday …
 
 
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 More Items: 
John Dickerson / Slate:
His loss would be disastrous for the media and political establishment.
John Fund / The Politico:
Falsified registrations become votes
Discussion: The Corner and www.redstate.com
Rob Stein / Washington Post:
Study First to Link TV Sex To Real Teen Pregnancies
Avi Zenilman / The Politico:
Secretaries of state give Dem firewall
Discussion: Democratic Strategist
Bill Dyer / Townhall.com:
Obama's Redistribution for iTunes
Discussion: Say Anything and The Corner
 Earlier Items: 
Byron York / National Review:
Loving Sarah in Middle America
Frank James / The Swamp:
Palin misstates anti-Obama data source
Jonathan Curley / Christian Science Monitor:
My wife made me canvas for Obama; here's what I learned
Discussion: The Moderate Voice