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8:40 AM ET, November 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Gallup:
Final Presidential Estimate: Obama 55%, McCain 44%  —  Independents break for Obama, boosting Obama's broad Democratic base  —  PRINCETON, NJ — The final Gallup 2008 pre-election poll — based on Oct. 31-Nov. 2 Gallup Poll Daily tracking — shows Barack Obama with a 53% to 42% advantage over John McCain among likely voters.
RELATED:
On Politics:
Final USA TODAY/Gallup estimate: Obama, 53%; McCain, 42%  —  Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain by 11 percentage points in the last USA TODAY/Gallup national poll of likely voters before Election Day.  —  With less than two days to go before polls open, the contenders' support is estimated to be:
Jennifer Agiesta / Washington Post:
WaPo-ABC Tracking: Advantage Obama
Discussion: The Numbers, Daily Kos and TalkLeft
Mark Steyn / The Corner:
Unreadability in the defense of liberalism is no vice  —  Ed Driscoll writes:  —  When the MSM moans about the gallons of red ink it's spilled since 2001, it needs to ask itself if it's prepared to actually report the news, in a fashion that interests readers, or if it exists as a non-profit ideological support system.
RELATED:
Scott Conroy / CBS News:
Palin Unleashes New Attack Against Obama On Coal
Carla Marinucci / San Francisco Chronicle:
Palin suggests Chronicle withheld Obama remarks
Discussion: Townhall.com and The Jed Report
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
The Republican Rump  —  Maybe the polls are wrong, and John McCain is about to pull off the biggest election upset in American history.  But right now the Democrats seem poised both to win the White House and to greatly expand their majorities in both houses of Congress.
RELATED:
Paul Steinhauser / CNN:
Palin costing McCain, poll suggests  —  CNN Deputy Political Director  —  WASHINGTON (CNN) — A new national poll suggests Sarah Palin may be hurting Republican presidential nominee John McCain more than she's helping him.  —  A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Sunday …
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Dschabner / Political Punch:
Nadler Criticizes Obama's ‘Courage’  —  Rep. Jerrold Nadler, D-NY, was down in Florida over the weekend, and one supposes that he thought he was helping Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., but it will ultimately be hard to make that case.  —  Pamela Geller at Atlas Shrugged has posted some video …
Discussion: Betsy's Page and 24Ahead
RELATED:
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
JOE THE SKINHEAD  —  When he was just the topic du jour because of his question to Barack Obama back in the neighborhood in Ohio, that was one thing.  But “Joe the Plumber” is now actively campaigning with and for John McCain, appearing on stage with him at multiple events, etc.
RELATED:
William Kristol / New York Times:
Hey Liberals, Don't Worry  —  Barack Obama will probably win the 2008 presidential election.  If he does, we conservatives will greet the news with our usual resolute stoicism or cheerful fatalism.  Being conservative means never being too surprised by disappointment.  —  But what if John McCain pulls off an upset?
Times of London:
How The Times followed a trail to find Barack Obama's aunt  —  The trail that led to “Aunt Zeituni”, the relative of Barack Obama who was traced by The Times last week, started with Mr Obama's memoir, one of the most widely read political autobiographies of all time.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
The Cellphone Effect, Continued  —  These are Barack Obama's leads in the likely voter models presently included in the Real Clear Politics average, plus the Research 2000 poll which they arbitrarily exclude.  —  The polls in the Cingular-y orange color include cellphones in their samples; the polls in gray do not.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
What A McCain Win Looks Like...  This was by far the most common McCain victory scenario, occurring 169 times out of 10,000 simulations this afternoon:  —  ...this would be a boring ol' map.  Obama wins everything that either Al Gore or John Kerry won.  McCain wins everything else.
Discussion: Newshoggers.com
Avi Zenilman / The Politico:
Secretaries of state give Dem firewall  —  In anticipation of a photo-finish presidential election, Democrats have built an administrative firewall designed to protect their electoral interests in five of the most important battleground states.  —  The bulwark consists of control of secretary …
Discussion: Democratic Strategist
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
Myths and Realities  —  Jay Nordlinger writes at The Corner: … That may what “the evidence of [Nordlinger's] lived experience” says, but it would be strongly at odds with the historical pattern.  Here's Andrew Gelman's map of voting patterns among the top third of the income distribution in 2004:
Discussion: Eschaton
RELATED:
Jay Nordlinger / The Corner:
Dept. of Enduring Myths
Discussion: Soccer Dad
Dschabner / Political Radar:
Obama Says He Is Against Same-Sex Marriage But Also Against Ending Its Practice In Calif.  —  ABC News' Teddy Davis, Sunlen Miller, Tahman Bradley, and Rigel Anderson report: Barack Obama's nuanced position on same-sex marriage is on full display in an MTV interview which is set to air on Monday.
RELATED:
New York Times:
U.S. Rejects G.M.'s Call for Help in a Merger  —  DETROIT — The Treasury Department has turned down a request by General Motors for up to $10 billion to help finance the automaker's possible merger with Chrysler, according to people close to the discussions.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Robert D. Kaplan / Los Angeles Times:
Iraq may be Obama's first ‘test’
Discussion: The New Republic
Ian Urbina / New York Times:
Voting Experts Say High Turnout May Add to Problems at the Polls
Michael Luo / New York Times:
What Happens to Public Financing, When Obama Thrived Without It?
Bill Dyer / Townhall.com:
Obama's Redistribution for iTunes
Discussion: Say Anything and The Corner
Paul / Power Line:
INSIDE THE MIND OF AN “OBAMACON”
 Earlier Items: 
Byron York / National Review:
Loving Sarah in Middle America
Jay Nordlinger / The Corner:
A Reason to Elect McCain
Discussion: The Heretik and Power Line
Frank James / The Swamp:
Palin misstates anti-Obama data source
Jonathan Curley / Christian Science Monitor:
My wife made me canvas for Obama; here's what I learned
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Jay Newton-Small / Time:
A Long Campaign, And a Changed Barack Obama
Discussion: Obsidian Wings
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Chris Thompson / Defector:
Vice leadership failed to act as responsible stewards of a good product, and instead paid themselves lavish salaries and burned through hundreds of millions

Sara Fischer / Axios:
NPR affiliate WAMU is shutting down local news site Dcist and laying off 15 employees to focus on audio and plans to add 10 new positions

Brian Steinberg / Variety:
WBD reports Q4 revenue down 7% YoY to $10.3B, adjusted EBITDA down 5% YoY to $2.5B, 97.7M global streaming subscribers, and a $103M streaming profit for 2023

 
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