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9:00 PM ET, November 4, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Joe Lieberman / The Huffington Post:
Exit Polls 2008: See The Full Results  —  (More exit polls coming soon.  We explain why you shouldn't trust them below.)  —  The head to head exit polls just were sent to the Huffington Post by a Democratic source.  These are traditionally unreliable and should be taken with a grain of salt (see: Kerry's winning margins in 2004).
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls  —  Oh, let me count the ways.  Almost all of this, by the way, is lifted from Mark Bluemthnal's outstanding Exit Poll FAQ.  For the long version, see over there.  —  1. Exit polls have a much larger intrinsic margin for error than regular polls.
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
Looking for Presidential Exit Polls?  —  Looking for leaked exit poll results from the Obama-McCain presidential race?  Sorry to break the news, but until at least 5:00 p.m. today you are out of luck.  —  Following the 2004 election, when partial and misleading results leaked out at mid day …
Marc Ambinder:
National Exit Poll Data....First Takes...
Discussion: MSNBC, Gawker and Salon
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
Round one: IN, VA, OH, NC
Discussion: Stop The ACLU and PoliGazette
Amanda Carpenter / Townhall.com:
A Repeat of 2004 Philly Voter Chaos, Fraud  —  GOP Election Board members have been tossed out of polling stations in at least half a dozen polling stations in Philadelphia because of their party status.  —  A Pennsylvania judge previously ruled that court-appointed poll watchers …
RELATED:
Market Wire:
Republican National Committee Prepares for Computerized Voting Fraud Legal Battle  —  Forensicon, Inc., a Chicago-based computer forensics company, was contacted last Thursday by a security firm lining up vendors to assist the Republican National Committee with consulting related to potential allegations of computerized voter fraud.
Discussion: Ben Smith's Blogs
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Poll problems and poll problem spin
Discussion: Macsmind
Skip / GraniteGrok:
BREAKING - POSSIBLE VOTER FRAUD IN NH!
Russell Goldman / ABCNEWS:
Obama Sweeps the Northeast, Wins Pennsylvania and N.H.  —  Barack Obama Has so Far Picked Up 102 Electoral Votes to McCain's 49  —  As the polls close on the East Coast, Barack Obama is sweeping through Northeast states and is projected to win Pennsylvania, a battleground state that John …
RELATED:
Alex Johnson / MSNBC:
Pennsylvania gives Obama big early lead  —  Key states of Florida, Missouri remain too close to call, NBC News projects  —  A voter walks past an Obama sign near the polling place at Penrose Recreation Center in Philadelphia on Tuesday.  —  Slide show  —  America votes
Marc Ambinder:
Some Florida and PA Exit Poll Highlights
Discussion: Hot Air
Michelle Malkin:
Obama's civilian security force: Billy club-wielding security guards at Philly polls  —  Here's the vid of billy club-wielding “security” guards at the 1221 Fairmount Ave. polling place in Philly from Election Journal.  Just as I suspected, these guys look like NBPP from the emblem on one of the “guard's” jackets.
RELATED:
Michelle Malkin:
Black Panther intimidation at the polls? …
Satyam Khanna / Think Progress:
Lieberman: ‘I Fear’ That ‘America Will Not Survive’ If Democrats Get 60 Senate Seats  —  With the possibility that Democrats might soon gain a filibuster proof majority in the Senate, Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) has been openly flirting with thoughts of voting with his conservative colleagues.
RELATED:
MSNBC:
Democrats take Senate seats in Virginia, N.H.
Discussion: Weekly Standard and Comedy Central
City Room:
Tim Robbins Faces Mix-Up at Polling Place  —  The actor Tim Robbins, looked dejected and annoyed around 10:30 a.m., as he was sitting in a folding chair at the McBurney YMCA at 125 West 14th Street, one of the more than 1,300 polling places throughout New York City.
RELATED:
Peter Hamby / CNN:
Palin discusses her future  —  Gov. Sarah Palin cast her vote in Wasilla, Alaska and spoke to reporters about her future.  (AP PHOTO)  —  WASILLA, Alaska (CNN) — Sarah Palin appeared calm and confident Tuesday morning during her brief sojourn to Wasilla, Alaska, where she greeted hometown supporters …
Discussion: Needlenose and Washington Monthly
Marc Ambinder:
An Obama “Urgent” E-mail  —  A New York City-based Obama home phonebanker who's been making calls through the MyBO.com hub to PA and VA says he just received this e-mail:
Seanmalstrom / Malstrom's Articles News:
Toast  —  I've checked my email, and I have over a hundred new messages.  And I can't get to anything resorting to ‘Sean Malstrom’ due to real life situations.  Luckily I changed my career gears long ago.  But my old profession of political analysis is going to be absolutely destroyed.
Boyd Reed / eastside93's Blog:
I Didn't Vote For Obama Today  —  I have a confession to make.  —  I did not vote for Barack Obama today.  —  I've openly supported Obama since March.  But I didn't vote for him today.  —  I wanted to vote for Ronald Woods.  He was my algebra teacher at Clark Junior High in East St. Louis, IL.
Ali Frick / Think Progress:
Fearful Conservatives Push New Talking Point: ‘This Is A Center-Right Country’  —  Last Friday, Washington Post columnist Charles Krauthammer called the United States “the quintessential center-right country,” and wondered why it was “poised to reject” Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), “the quintessential center-right candidate.”
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
Today's Polls and Final Election Projection: Obama 349, McCain 189  —  It's Tuesday, November 4th, 2008, Election Day in America.  The last polls have straggled in, and show little sign of mercy for John McCain.  Barack Obama appears poised for a decisive electoral victory.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
Indiana...  Just looking at some of the places where we have results in so far.  Obama is substantially outperforming Kerry — which is what he needs to do to win the state, of course, but the differences are pretty substantial.  —  Steuben: Kerry 34%, Obama 42%  —  DeKalb: Kerry 31%, Obama 38%
Discussion: Slog
HillBuzz:
Five Reasons Obama Lost This Election  —  We truly believe if all of us continue to work as hard as possible tonight and tomorrow in get-out-the-vote efforts, and if we control the Eeyores in our midst and prevent the Obamedia from depressing turnout in our ranks, that McCain/Palin …
Discussion: Comedy Central and The Heretik
The Corner:
Vote Early, Vote Often  —  An Obama voter in Pennsylvania admits to CNN that he voted multiple times:
Discussion: Commentary
James Pethokoukis / US News:
The Latest From Inside McCain HQ  —  I just talked to one of my best Team McCain sources who told me that heading into today all the key battleground polls were moving hard and fast in their direction.  The source, hardly a perma-optimist, thinks it will be a long night, but that McCain is going to win.
Discussion: PoliGazette and Gateway Pundit
David Remnick / New Yorker:
MR. AYERS'S NEIGHBORHOOD  —  Early this morning, the Obama family voted at the Beulah Shoesmith Elementary School, in Hyde Park.  Long after they had gone, the lawn in front of the school was filled with reporters, mostly Europeans, filming voters.  While I was talking to an eight-year-old kid dressed …
Nora Ephron / The Huffington Post:
Thinking About Bill  —  As I listened to Sarah Palin's recent phone call with “Nikolas Sarkozy,” I couldn't help thinking about Bill Kristol.  —  I think about Bill Kristol far too much.  I almost never used to.  Before he began writing his Monday column in the New York Times, I rarely saw him on television.
Discussion: The Heretik
Marc Ambinder:
Watching Florida: Real Vote Confirms Obama Lead  —  Bush won the huge swing county of Pinellas — [Sarasota ]— the St. Petersburg-Clearwater are — by a narrow margin in 2004.  Obama won it by 8 pts in 2008 — 35,000 votes.  Bush won Seminole County in central Florida with ease; Obama's leading McCain with half of the vote in.
The Huffington Post:
“Fox & Friends” Host Steve Doocy Falsely Identifies Barack Obama At Polling Place, Says Of Black Man: “There He Is!”  —  “Fox & Friends” host Steve Doocy falsely identified Barack Obama while waiting for the Democratic nominee to emerge at his polling place in Chicago Tuesday morning.
Discussion: Think Progress and Comedy Central
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
A narrowing path  —  ABC calls Pennsylvania and New Hampshire for Obama, based on the exit polls; CNN is waiting to project.  —  If ABC is right, that's more or less the ballgame.  Without those two states, the scenarios for McCain become increasingly exotic: He needs to win in Western states he's losing …
CBS News:
Election Night Rolls Into High Gear  —  Polls Closing On East Coast; Exit Surveys Suggest Women Breaking For Obama, Widespread Pessimism Among Electorate  —  (CBS/ AP) With polls now closing on the East Coast, CBS News projects that Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama will win …
Discussion: TalkLeft and Marc Ambinder
 
 
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 More Items: 
Ana Marie Cox:
McCain Says Good-Bye — to the Press
Paul Volpe / Washington Post:
Obama Carries Nine States, While McCain Takes S.C. and Three Others
Noam Scheiber / The New Republic:
Why No Bin Laden Tape?
Rob Crilly / Times of London:
Barack Obama's Kenyan family to celebrate by slaughtering bulls, chicken and goats
Discussion: Althouse and The Corner
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Rick vs. Joe
Charles Mahtesian / The Politico:
25 key counties to watch tonight
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
 Earlier Items: 
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
The Difference-Makers  —  I've been a little bit surprised …
Discussion: Kevin Drum
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
MCCAIN'S FINAL CAMPAIGN RALLY
Michael Crowley / The New Republic:
A GOTV Glitch For Obama?
Discussion: Ben Smith's Blogs
Mark Murray / MSNBC:
NADER: I HAVE ONLY ONE WORD FOR YOU...  From MSNBC.com's Bob Sullivan
Discussion: The New Republic and Wonkette
WSB-TV:
Some Georgians Suspected Of Voting Twice
Discussion: Power Line
New York Times:
So Little Time, So Much Damage  —  While Americans eagerly vote …
Discussion: Washington Post