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12:45 PM ET, November 8, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Final Election Update: The Forecast Is More Or Less Back Where It Started  —  Republicans are favored in the House.  The Senate is more competitive.  —  By Nate Silver  —  Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM  —  When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance …
RELATED:
Amy Walter / Cook Political Report:
Three Most Likely Scenarios for Tuesday  —  When it comes to possible outcomes on Tuesday night, I see three potential scenarios.  —  1. The Classic “Tsunami” Election  —  We can put the 1994/2006/2010 midterms into this category.  In this scenario, the bottom drops out for the party in the White House.
Spencer Abraham / Washington Free Beacon:
On Election Day, Here's What the Polls Really Say
Discussion: HotAir and Daily Kos
Kimberly Wehle / The Bulwark:
Case After Case After Case: The GOP Keeps Suing to Toss Out Midterm Ballots  —  “While it is easy to hurl accusations of violations of law and corruption, it is another matter to come forward and produce the evidence.”  —  The midterms have sparked debate as to whether this election is a referendum on the future of American democracy.
RELATED:
The Philadelphia Inquirer:
John Fetterman's Pa. Senate campaign is suing to have undated and misdated ballots counted  —  Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's campaign for U.S. Senate has joined the legal fight over whether mail ballots with no date or the incorrect date should be counted in Tuesday's election …
U.S. Department of Justice:
Justice Department to Monitor Polls in 24 States for Compliance with Federal Voting Rights Laws
Catherine Rampell / Washington Post:
Democrats are drowning in denial  —  Democrats appear to be heading toward painful losses on Tuesday, in one if not both houses of Congress.  What went wrong will be debated for months, perhaps years.  —  Much of the problem can be summed up in one word: denial.
RELATED:
Scott Dworkin / Newsweek:
Democracy Is on the Ballot. The Democrats Are the Only Choice
Wall Street Journal:
Ukraine's Zelensky Sets Conditions for ‘Genuine’ Peace Talks With Russia  —  President says he is open to negotiations that guarantee Ukraine's territorial integrity  —  Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said he was open to negotiations with Russia if they are focused …
RELATED:
Washington Post:
Russia's heavy casualties in Ukraine spark outcry and rare official response
Discussion: Washington Examiner and The Hill
Washington Post:
In one Ukrainian village, occupation ended — and the feud began
Discussion: New York Times
Jennifer Rubin / Washington Post:
Trump is losing steam.  That's reason for Biden to bow out in 2024.  —  Donald Trump is losing steam.  Even his nicknames have gotten weaker.  —  Over the weekend, right-wing commentators were irate at the former president for taking a jab at Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, whom he referred to as “Ron DeSanctimonious.”
RELATED:
Matt Keener / American Thinker:
Does Joe Biden Know The Fix Is In?
Lawrence Norden / Brennan Center for Justice:
Why Does It Take So Long to Count Mail Ballots in Key States?  Blame Legislatures … The slow count of mail ballots has been used to cast doubt on election results, but these delays are a deliberate choice by lawmakers in battleground states.  —  Lawrence Norden Photo  —  Derek Tisler Photo
Sam Roberts / New York Times:
Ernie Lazar, Who Trawled for Secret Government Documents, Dies at 77  —  By pursuing his “unusual hobby” of filing as many as 10,000 Freedom of Information requests about extremist groups, he proved invaluable to historians and journalists.  —  Ernie Lazar, an unheralded hero of researchers …
Julia Davis / The Daily Beast:
Putin Insiders Pray for ‘Frightening’ GOP Election Sweep  —  Kremlin cheerleaders are hoping for Republicans to win big in the midterms to unleash “poisonous American spiders, tearing each other up” on Capitol Hill.  —  Russian state media is following the midterm elections in the United States …
Discussion: Raw Story
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
Are the Polls Still Missing ‘Hidden’ Republicans?  Here's What We're Doing to Find Out.  —  There was no breakthrough in our experiment, but the differences were intriguing.  —  It won't be long until we learn the results of the 2022 midterm elections — and how the polls fared.
Bloomberg:
The US Northeast Is Hurtling Toward a Winter Heating Crisis  —  In the most densely populated corner of the US, temperatures are about to drop after a stretch of unusually warm weather.  And the signs of a winter crisis are already multiplying.  —  Heating oil delivered to New York is the priciest ever.
Casey Newton / Platformer:
Musk discusses putting all of Twitter behind a paywall  —  Will he go through with it?  PLUS: Botched layoffs, how the new Blue could lose money, and more  —  If Friday brought massive layoffs to Twitter, Monday brought fresh evidence that the company will never be the same.
Tim Miller / The Triad:
The Empress of Trollistan: Kari Lake Is Having the Time of Her Life  —  The party that's having fun usually wins.  —  Hey fam: JVL here.  Tim has taken over the Triad this morning with a report from on the ground in Arizona.  Instead of guessing about what's going to happen today …
David Gilbert / VICE:
Meet the ‘Black Robe Regiment’ of Extremist Pastors Spreading Christian Nationalism  —  “There is a very serious spiritual battle we have and we don't have any problem with saying we are fighting things we can't see.”  —  David Gilbert  —  TO  —  PHOENIX — Days before the midterm elections …
Charlie Mahtesian / Politico:
The looming election disaster  —  OFF THE RAILS — It's time to talk about it out loud: This year's election is going to be a train wreck.  Not just Election Day, but the weeks and perhaps even months to come.  —  For starters, it might not be clear who controls the House for days, or longer.
Alexander Hall / Fox News:
Karine Jean-Pierre blasted for warning it may take ‘a few days’ to count votes: ‘This insanity has to stop’  —  Judicial Watch President Tom Fitton warned, ‘Counting ballots after Election Day undermines voter confidence.’  —  White House warns midterm results may be delayed
 
 
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 More Items: 
Hurubie Meko / New York Times:
Cornell Halts Fraternity Parties After Alleged Sex Assault and Druggings
Discussion: CBS News, University Statements and UPI
Karen Townsend / HotAir:
Political violence? Watch Senator Ted Cruz get hit with a can during Astros victory parade
Howard Kurtz / Fox News:
Media keep up hurling oppo at DeSantis, Lake and Walker, but here's why it may not matter
Discussion: Politics and History
Washington Post:
Photos from Election Day: Across the U.S., voters head to the polls
Discussion: USA Today and Iowa Starting Line
Alexander Bolton / The Hill:
Chatter grows over potential Rick Scott GOP leadership challenge to Mitch McConnell
Reuters:
Exclusive: China cancelled EU leader's video address at opening of major trade expo
Discussion: Euractiv and Politico
Kalley Huang / New York Times:
What Is Mastodon and Why Are People Leaving Twitter for It?
 Earlier Items: 
Simon Rosenberg / NDN:
On This 2022 Election Eve Would Rather Be Us Than Them
Discussion: Raw Story and Washington Post
Wall Street Journal:
China's Xi Jinping Plans Visit to Saudi Arabia Amid Global Reshuffling
Discussion: Sputnik News
Anna Merlan / VICE:
Quack COVID Group America's Frontline Doctors Is Suing Its ‘Rogue Founder’ Simone Gold
Jonathan Allen / Reuters:
U.S. judge suspends many of New York's new gun restrictions
Discussion: abc7NY and The Hill
Shelby Talcott / Semafor:
Trump is considering moving up his presidential announcement (again)
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Lauren Feiner / The Verge:
President Biden signs the ByteDance-TikTok divest-or-ban bill into law, after the Senate passed it by 79-18; the House passed the legislation 360-58 on April 20

Meta Investor Relations:
Meta reports Q1 revenue up 27% YoY to $36.46B, net income up 117% YoY to $12.37B, and family daily active people up 7% YoY to 3.24B for March 2024

New York Times:
Sources detail NPR's struggles with declining audiences, falling sponsorship revenue, internal conflicts over turning things around, and a diversity push
 
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