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2:25 PM ET, November 8, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Sahil Kapur / NBC News:
Early bellwethers: Key races to watch once polls close on election night  —  Georgia, Ohio, Pennsylvania and other key races to watch on Election Day  —  The 2022 midterms are shaping up to culminate in an unpredictable election night, with recent surveys showing close fights in a host …
RELATED:
Amy Walter / Cook Political Report:
Three Most Likely Scenarios for Tuesday  —  When it comes to possible outcomes on Tuesday night, I see three potential scenarios.  —  1. The Classic “Tsunami” Election  —  We can put the 1994/2006/2010 midterms into this category.  In this scenario, the bottom drops out for the party in the White House.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Final Election Update: The Forecast Is More Or Less Back Where It Started  —  Republicans are favored in the House.  The Senate is more competitive.  —  By Nate Silver  —  Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM  —  When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance …
New York Times:
The Needle: Senate and House Forecast  —  Chance of winning Senate control  —  No estimates yet  —  Very Likely Likely Leaning Tossup Leaning Likely Very Likely  —  Chance of winning House control  —  No estimates yet  —  Very Likely Likely Leaning Tossup Leaning Likely Very Likely
NBC News:
Midterm elections 2022: Live updates and election day news  —  Polls open with control of Congress at stake … North Carolina Republicans are poised to expand their hold on the House and the Senate into a supermajority this election, clearing the way to push through greater restrictions on abortion, a political expert said.
Discussion: Raw Story and Big League Politics
Spencer Abraham / Washington Free Beacon:
On Election Day, Here's What the Polls Really Say
Discussion: HotAir and Daily Kos
CNN:
Biden readies for ‘a horrible two years’ if GOP takes control of Congress  —  These investigations will take center stage in a Republican-led House  —  CNN political director explains how election calls are made  —  Pelosi describes her experience following husband's attack that was intended for her
RELATED:
Washington Post:
Republicans could deepen their war with corporate America
Discussion: Semafor
Zeke Miller / Associated Press:
Biden's next 2 years: changes afoot whatever midterms bring
Kimberly Wehle / The Bulwark:
Case After Case After Case: The GOP Keeps Suing to Toss Out Midterm Ballots  —  “While it is easy to hurl accusations of violations of law and corruption, it is another matter to come forward and produce the evidence.”  —  The midterms have sparked debate as to whether this election is a referendum on the future of American democracy.
RELATED:
The Philadelphia Inquirer:
John Fetterman's Pa. Senate campaign is suing to have undated and misdated ballots counted
Jennifer Rubin / Washington Post:
Trump is losing steam.  That's reason for Biden to bow out in 2024.  —  Donald Trump is losing steam.  Even his nicknames have gotten weaker.  —  Over the weekend, right-wing commentators were irate at the former president for taking a jab at Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, whom he referred to as “Ron DeSanctimonious.”
RELATED:
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Biden's and Trump's Performances on the 2022 Trail Sow Doubts About 2024  —  OCEANSIDE, Calif. — It's the bipartisan truth that dare not speak its name, at least not in public: Republicans and Democrats alike are stumbling into the midterm elections saddled with presidential frontrunners …
Washington Post:
Russia's heavy casualties in Ukraine spark outcry and rare official response  —  RIGA, Latvia — Steep Russian casualties in key battles in eastern Ukraine have prompted an unusual public outcry — and sharp criticism of military commanders — by surviving soldiers and family members …
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
Ukraine's Zelensky Sets Conditions for ‘Genuine’ Peace Talks With Russia
Washington Post:
In one Ukrainian village, occupation ended — and the feud began
Discussion: New York Times
Lawrence Norden / Brennan Center for Justice:
Why Does It Take So Long to Count Mail Ballots in Key States?  Blame Legislatures … The slow count of mail ballots has been used to cast doubt on election results, but these delays are a deliberate choice by lawmakers in battleground states.  —  Lawrence Norden Photo  —  Derek Tisler Photo
Nick R. Martin / The Informant:
Paul Gosar says Kari Lake might order military blockade of tribal land  —  The congressman floats the idea that Lake could order the National Guard to surround the Tohono O'odham Nation if she becomes Arizona governor.  —  In the days leading up to the 2022 election, Arizona Republican Congressman Paul Gosar …
Discussion: Raw Story, Vox, TIME and Washington Examiner
Rolling Stone:
Trump Keeps Musing About Journalists Being Raped in Prison — He's Not Joking  —  A knowledgeable source tells Rolling Stone that the former president has wondered how he might be able to jail reporters if he retakes the White House  —  DONALD TRUMP ENDED his pre-midterm rally blitz in disgusting fashion …
Tim Miller / The Triad:
The Empress of Trollistan: Kari Lake Is Having the Time of Her Life  —  The party that's having fun usually wins.  —  Hey fam: JVL here.  Tim has taken over the Triad this morning with a report from on the ground in Arizona.  Instead of guessing about what's going to happen today …
David Gilbert / VICE:
Meet the ‘Black Robe Regiment’ of Extremist Pastors Spreading Christian Nationalism  —  “There is a very serious spiritual battle we have and we don't have any problem with saying we are fighting things we can't see.”  —  David Gilbert  —  TO  —  PHOENIX — Days before the midterm elections …
Discussion: Raw Story
Sam Roberts / New York Times:
Ernie Lazar, Who Trawled for Secret Government Documents, Dies at 77  —  By pursuing his “unusual hobby” of filing as many as 10,000 Freedom of Information requests about extremist groups, he proved invaluable to historians and journalists.  —  Ernie Lazar, an unheralded hero of researchers …
Julia Davis / The Daily Beast:
Putin Insiders Pray for ‘Frightening’ GOP Election Sweep  —  Kremlin cheerleaders are hoping for Republicans to win big in the midterms to unleash “poisonous American spiders, tearing each other up” on Capitol Hill.  —  Russian state media is following the midterm elections in the United States …
Discussion: Raw Story
Eli Lake / Commentary Magazine:
Can the FBI Be Saved from Itself—And Can We Be Saved from the FBI?  —  For the last half century, Americans have told themselves a pleasant story about the Federal Bureau of Investigation.  It goes like this: Yes, there were abuses during the long tenure of FBI Director J. Edgar Hoover.
Washington Post:
Photos from Election Day: Across the U.S., voters head to the polls  —  Voters across the U.S. head to the polls in the 2022 midterm elections.  Democrats and Republicans are locked in a fierce fight for control of the Senate, with a handful of races that could tip control of the chamber.
Alexander Hall / Fox News:
Karine Jean-Pierre blasted for warning it may take ‘a few days’ to count votes: ‘This insanity has to stop’  —  Judicial Watch President Tom Fitton warned, ‘Counting ballots after Election Day undermines voter confidence.’  —  White House warns midterm results may be delayed
 
 
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 More Items: 
Zach Montellaro / Politico:
Election officials look to harden tabulation centers against 2020-type chaos
Discussion: Political Wire
Damien Cave / New York Times:
The World's Democracies Ask: Why Can't America Fix Itself?
Bloomberg:
The US Northeast Is Hurtling Toward a Winter Heating Crisis
Washington Post:
DeSantis official says Justice Dept. can't send monitors to 3 Florida counties
Karen Townsend / HotAir:
Political violence? Watch Senator Ted Cruz get hit with a can during Astros victory parade
Howard Kurtz / Fox News:
Media keep up hurling oppo at DeSantis, Lake and Walker, but here's why it may not matter
Discussion: Politics and History
 Earlier Items: 
Charlie Mahtesian / Politico:
The looming election disaster
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
Are the Polls Still Missing ‘Hidden’ Republicans? Here's What We're Doing to Find Out.
Reuters:
Exclusive: China cancelled EU leader's video address at opening of major trade expo
Discussion: The Guardian, Euractiv and Politico
Kalley Huang / New York Times:
What Is Mastodon and Why Are People Leaving Twitter for It?
Wall Street Journal:
China's Xi Jinping Plans Visit to Saudi Arabia Amid Global Reshuffling
Discussion: Sputnik News
Anna Merlan / VICE:
Quack COVID Group America's Frontline Doctors Is Suing Its ‘Rogue Founder’ Simone Gold
Casey Newton / Platformer:
Musk discusses putting all of Twitter behind a paywall
 

 
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Microsoft:
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Cecilia Kang / New York Times:
The FCC votes 3-2 to reinstate the US' net neutrality rules, expanding government oversight of ISPs and aiming to protect consumer access to the internet
 
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