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7:40 PM ET, November 8, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
New York Times:
The Needle: Senate and House Forecast  —  Chance of winning Senate control  —  No estimates yet  —  Very Likely Likely Leaning Tossup Leaning Likely Very Likely  —  Chance of winning House control  —  No estimates yet  —  Very Likely Likely Leaning Tossup Leaning Likely Very Likely
RELATED:
Amy Walter / Cook Political Report:
Three Most Likely Scenarios for Tuesday  —  When it comes to possible outcomes on Tuesday night, I see three potential scenarios.  —  1. The Classic “Tsunami” Election  —  We can put the 1994/2006/2010 midterms into this category.  In this scenario, the bottom drops out for the party in the White House.
Sahil Kapur / NBC News:
Early bellwethers: Key races to watch once polls close on election night  —  Georgia, Ohio, Pennsylvania and other key races to watch on Election Day  —  The 2022 midterms are shaping up to culminate in an unpredictable election night, with recent surveys showing close fights in a host …
Zachary Faria / Washington Examiner:
Early return: The red wave rolls through Guam as Republicans pick up their first win  —  The red wave has begun on this Election Day, and it has capsized Guam's Democratic Party.  —  The U.S. territory sends one nonvoting delegate to Congress, and that delegate had always been a Democrat going back to 1993.
Washington Post:
Midterm elections live updates … Polls have now closed in half a dozen states, with preliminary results expected to start coming in soon.  Those include from Georgia — where Sen. Raphael G. Warnock (D) and Republican Herschel Walker are locked in a tight race that will help determine …
Brooke Singman / Fox News:
Trump calls for Senate Republican leadership change, warns potential 2024 GOP candidates against running  —  Trump said Sen. Rick Scott should replace Mitch McConnell as Senate GOP leader, and warned DeSantis against running in 2024  —  Donald Trump: This is the ‘America First’ agenda
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
Trump Says It Would Be a Mistake for DeSantis to Run for the White House in 2024  —  Flying from Ohio to Florida aboard his remodeled Boeing 757, Donald Trump caught a glimpse of himself on television.  “A fine looking young man, a fine looking candidate,” he quipped to a handful of reporters.
Maggie Haberman / New York Times:
Trump Threatens to Reveal Unflattering Information About DeSantis if He Runs  —  “I know more about him than anybody other than perhaps his wife,” the former president reportedly said.  —  Several hours before polls opened on Tuesday for Election Day in Florida, former President Donald J. Trump warned …
Discussion: The Guardian, Fox News and Raw Story
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Biden's and Trump's Performances on the 2022 Trail Sow Doubts About 2024
Catalist:
Election Day 2022 Data Snapshot … EARLY VOTE DATA  —  Today's report is a snapshot of the 2022 absentee and early vote based on publicly available information that has been matched to Catalist's voter file as of this morning, Tuesday, November 8, 2022.  Catalist's data will update …
RELATED:
Washington Post:
Problems with voting machines in Arizona's Maricopa County trigger unfounded fraud claims  —  The issue was affecting about a quarter of machines, officials said.  No one was being prevented from voting, and lines were short in many locations.  —  PHOENIX — Problems with vote-counting machines …
CNN:
Exit polls: What voters are thinking as America goes to the polls  —  Read below for analysis of CNN's preliminary 2022 national exit polls.  —  Pennsylvania voters are not enamored with either Biden or Trump  —  More than 4 in 10 of Pennsylvania voters approve of the way Joe Biden is handling his job …
Washington Post:
Misinformation floods the midterms, at times urging violence
Discussion: Raw Story
Justin Rohrlich / The Daily Beast:
Trump Pounces on ‘Ordinary’ Voting Machine Issues in Arizona
The Philadelphia Inquirer:
Vote count in Philadelphia will take longer due to last-minute change; 3,500 flawed ballots can be fixed at City Hall today
NBC News:
Midterm elections 2022: Live updates and election day news
Discussion: Mediaite and Raw Story
CNN:
Biden readies for ‘a horrible two years’ if GOP takes control of Congress  —  These investigations will take center stage in a Republican-led House  —  CNN political director explains how election calls are made  —  Pelosi describes her experience following husband's attack that was intended for her
RELATED:
Polly Politico / Politico:
The 20 counties that will decide the midterms
Patrick Hauf / Fox News:
Biden's campaign stops hurt Dems and boosted Republicans, GOP operatives say
Discussion: Ace of Spades HQ
Ryan J. Reilly / NBC News:
‘Looks can be deceiving,’ DOJ argues at trial of Jan. 6 rioter charged with aiding Pelosi laptop theft  —  WASHINGTON — A federal prosecutor told jurors that “looks can be deceiving” as he urged them to convict a young woman charged with aiding the theft of a laptop from House Speaker Nancy …
Discussion: Washington Post and Raw Story
RELATED:
Kyle Cheney / Politico:
Prosecutors to jury on woman who stormed Pelosi's office: ‘Looks can be deceiving’
Discussion: Raw Story
Nick R. Martin / The Informant:
Paul Gosar says Kari Lake might order military blockade of tribal land  —  The congressman floats the idea that Lake could order the National Guard to surround the Tohono O'odham Nation if she becomes Arizona governor.  —  In the days leading up to the 2022 election, Arizona Republican Congressman Paul Gosar …
Discussion: Raw Story, Vox, TIME and Washington Examiner
Rolling Stone:
Trump Keeps Musing About Journalists Being Raped in Prison — He's Not Joking  —  A knowledgeable source tells Rolling Stone that the former president has wondered how he might be able to jail reporters if he retakes the White House  —  DONALD TRUMP ENDED his pre-midterm rally blitz in disgusting fashion …
New York Times:
Epstein Victim Says She May Have Made a Mistake in Accusing Dershowitz  —  Virginia Giuffre, who was trafficked as a girl by the financier Jeffrey E. Epstein, had accused Alan Dershowitz, a law professor, of abusing her.  Now she says she is no longer certain.
Lauren Pack / journal-news:
Court docs: Man charged in Okeana homicide admitted to shooting neighbor  —  A Morgan Twp. man charged with murder admitted to shooting and killing his neighbor in Okeana on Saturday, according to court documents.  —  Austin Gene Combs, 26, was booked into the Butler County Jail on Saturday night and charged with murder.
Discussion: Occupy Democrats and Raw Story
Daily Mail:
University of Kentucky student sobs in court after assaulting black desk clerk and call her ‘n*****’ 200 times before being bailed out by parents  — Sophia Rosing, 22, was arrested 4am on Sunday at a University of Kentucky dorm on public intoxication, assault and disorderly conduct charges
CNN:
House select committee has interviewed the driver of Trump's vehicle on January 6  —  The House select committee investigating January 6 on Monday interviewed the driver of then-President Donald Trump's presidential vehicle on the day of the US Capitol attack, multiple sources tell CNN.
Discussion: New York Post, Raw Story and NBC News
 
 
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 More Items: 
J.D. Prose / PennLive:
Owner of site that Oz picked for election night party organized buses to Jan. 6 rally
Discussion: Insider and 6abc
Carl Campanile / New York Post:
Pro-Eric Adams group donates $10K to Republican Lee Zeldin for governor on eve of Election Day
Discussion: Gothamist
Politico:
Ron Klain's uncertain future inside the White House
Discussion: Political Wire
Davey Alba / Bloomberg:
A Guide to US Election Day Misinformation
 Earlier Items: 
New York Times:
The World Is Falling Short of Its Climate Goals. Four Big Emitters Show Why.
Discussion: The Hill
Charlie Sykes / Morning Shots:
Buckle Up  —  It's only going to get wilder  —  Join us tonight!
Discussion: Raw Story and Politico
Damien Cave / New York Times:
The World's Democracies Ask: Why Can't America Fix Itself?
Discussion: Fox News
David Gilbert / VICE:
Meet the ‘Black Robe Regiment’ of Extremist Pastors Spreading Christian Nationalism
Discussion: Raw Story
Tim Miller / The Triad:
The Empress of Trollistan: Kari Lake Is Having the Time of Her Life
 

 
From Mediagazer:

New York Times:
Sources: Sony Pictures and Apollo Global formally express interest in acquiring Paramount for ~$26B; Paramount's negotiating period with Skydance ends May 3

Jem Aswad / Variety:
Universal Music Group and TikTok strike a new music licensing deal to bring UMG music back to the platform, including “improved remuneration” and AI protections

College Media Association:
A coalition of collegiate and professional press freedom groups urges campus administrators to respect the rights of student journalists covering protests
 
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