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3:20 PM ET, November 8, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
New York Times:
The Needle: Senate and House Forecast  —  Chance of winning Senate control  —  No estimates yet  —  Very Likely Likely Leaning Tossup Leaning Likely Very Likely  —  Chance of winning House control  —  No estimates yet  —  Very Likely Likely Leaning Tossup Leaning Likely Very Likely
RELATED:
Sahil Kapur / NBC News:
Early bellwethers: Key races to watch once polls close on election night  —  Georgia, Ohio, Pennsylvania and other key races to watch on Election Day  —  The 2022 midterms are shaping up to culminate in an unpredictable election night, with recent surveys showing close fights in a host …
Amy Walter / Cook Political Report:
Three Most Likely Scenarios for Tuesday  —  When it comes to possible outcomes on Tuesday night, I see three potential scenarios.  —  1. The Classic “Tsunami” Election  —  We can put the 1994/2006/2010 midterms into this category.  In this scenario, the bottom drops out for the party in the White House.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Final Election Update: The Forecast Is More Or Less Back Where It Started  —  Republicans are favored in the House.  The Senate is more competitive.  —  By Nate Silver  —  Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM  —  When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance …
The Philadelphia Inquirer:
Vote count in Philadelphia will take longer due to last-minute change; 3,500 flawed ballots can be fixed at City Hall today
Spencer Abraham / Washington Free Beacon:
On Election Day, Here's What the Polls Really Say
Discussion: HotAir and Daily Kos
CNN:
Biden readies for ‘a horrible two years’ if GOP takes control of Congress  —  These investigations will take center stage in a Republican-led House  —  CNN political director explains how election calls are made  —  Pelosi describes her experience following husband's attack that was intended for her
RELATED:
Jennifer Rubin / Washington Post:
Trump is losing steam.  That's reason for Biden to bow out in 2024.  —  Donald Trump is losing steam.  Even his nicknames have gotten weaker.  —  Over the weekend, right-wing commentators were irate at the former president for taking a jab at Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, whom he referred to as “Ron DeSanctimonious.”
Brooke Singman / Fox News:
Trump calls for Senate Republican leadership change, warns potential 2024 GOP candidates against running  —  Trump said Sen. Rick Scott should replace Mitch McConnell as Senate GOP leader, and warned DeSantis against running in 2024  —  Donald Trump: This is the ‘America First’ agenda
Washington Post:
Republicans could deepen their war with corporate America
Discussion: Semafor
Zeke Miller / Associated Press:
Biden's next 2 years: changes afoot whatever midterms bring
Kimberly Wehle / The Bulwark:
Case After Case After Case: The GOP Keeps Suing to Toss Out Midterm Ballots  —  “While it is easy to hurl accusations of violations of law and corruption, it is another matter to come forward and produce the evidence.”  —  The midterms have sparked debate as to whether this election is a referendum on the future of American democracy.
RELATED:
The Philadelphia Inquirer:
John Fetterman's Pa. Senate campaign is suing to have undated and misdated ballots counted
Washington Post:
Russia's heavy casualties in Ukraine spark outcry and rare official response  —  RIGA, Latvia — Steep Russian casualties in key battles in eastern Ukraine have prompted an unusual public outcry — and sharp criticism of military commanders — by surviving soldiers and family members …
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
Ukraine's Zelensky Sets Conditions for ‘Genuine’ Peace Talks With Russia
Washington Post:
In one Ukrainian village, occupation ended — and the feud began
Discussion: New York Times
Axios:
Dem campaigns sound alarm about “red mirage” redux  —  Democrats running the party's national campaign arm held a private call with allies and stakeholders Monday night to discuss “urgent messaging” if a flurry of GOP candidates claim victory prematurely, Axios has learned.
Discussion: The Federalist and Insider
RELATED:
Charlie Sykes / Morning Shots:
Buckle Up  —  It's only going to get wilder  —  Join us tonight!
Discussion: Raw Story
Charlie Mahtesian / Politico:
The looming election disaster
Nick R. Martin / The Informant:
Paul Gosar says Kari Lake might order military blockade of tribal land  —  The congressman floats the idea that Lake could order the National Guard to surround the Tohono O'odham Nation if she becomes Arizona governor.  —  In the days leading up to the 2022 election, Arizona Republican Congressman Paul Gosar …
Discussion: Raw Story, Vox, TIME and Washington Examiner
Rolling Stone:
Trump Keeps Musing About Journalists Being Raped in Prison — He's Not Joking  —  A knowledgeable source tells Rolling Stone that the former president has wondered how he might be able to jail reporters if he retakes the White House  —  DONALD TRUMP ENDED his pre-midterm rally blitz in disgusting fashion …
Lawrence Norden / Brennan Center for Justice:
Why Does It Take So Long to Count Mail Ballots in Key States?  Blame Legislatures … The slow count of mail ballots has been used to cast doubt on election results, but these delays are a deliberate choice by lawmakers in battleground states.  —  Lawrence Norden Photo  —  Derek Tisler Photo
David Gilbert / VICE:
Meet the ‘Black Robe Regiment’ of Extremist Pastors Spreading Christian Nationalism  —  “There is a very serious spiritual battle we have and we don't have any problem with saying we are fighting things we can't see.”  —  David Gilbert  —  TO  —  PHOENIX — Days before the midterm elections …
Discussion: Raw Story
Damien Cave / New York Times:
The World's Democracies Ask: Why Can't America Fix Itself?  —  Conversations across continents reveal alarm over the United States' direction, as it slides away from ideals it once pressed other nations to adopt.  —  Damien Cave reported from Taipei, Taiwan, and Sydney, Australia.
Discussion: Fox News
Lauren Pack / journal-news:
Court docs: Man charged in Okeana homicide admitted to shooting neighbor  —  A Morgan Twp. man charged with murder admitted to shooting and killing his neighbor in Okeana on Saturday, according to court documents.  —  Austin Gene Combs, 26, was booked into the Butler County Jail on Saturday night and charged with murder.
Discussion: Occupy Democrats and Raw Story
Tim Miller / The Triad:
The Empress of Trollistan: Kari Lake Is Having the Time of Her Life  —  The party that's having fun usually wins.  —  Hey fam: JVL here.  Tim has taken over the Triad this morning with a report from on the ground in Arizona.  Instead of guessing about what's going to happen today …
CNN:
House select committee has interviewed the driver of Trump's vehicle on January 6  —  The House select committee investigating January 6 on Monday interviewed the driver of then-President Donald Trump's presidential vehicle on the day of the US Capitol attack, multiple sources tell CNN.
Discussion: Raw Story and NBC News
 
 
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 More Items: 
Zach Montellaro / Politico:
Election officials look to harden tabulation centers against 2020-type chaos
Discussion: Political Wire
Eli Lake / Commentary Magazine:
Can the FBI Be Saved from Itself—And Can We Be Saved from the FBI?
Sam Roberts / New York Times:
Ernie Lazar, Who Trawled for Secret Government Documents, Dies at 77
Bloomberg:
The US Northeast Is Hurtling Toward a Winter Heating Crisis
Washington Post:
DeSantis official says Justice Dept. can't send monitors to 3 Florida counties
Karen Townsend / HotAir:
Political violence? Watch Senator Ted Cruz get hit with a can during Astros victory parade
 Earlier Items: 
Julia Davis / The Daily Beast:
Putin Insiders Pray for ‘Frightening’ GOP Election Sweep
Discussion: Raw Story
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
Are the Polls Still Missing ‘Hidden’ Republicans? Here's What We're Doing to Find Out.
Reuters:
Exclusive: China cancelled EU leader's video address at opening of major trade expo
Discussion: The Guardian, Euractiv and Politico
Kalley Huang / New York Times:
What Is Mastodon and Why Are People Leaving Twitter for It?
Wall Street Journal:
China's Xi Jinping Plans Visit to Saudi Arabia Amid Global Reshuffling
Discussion: Sputnik News
Casey Newton / Platformer:
Musk discusses putting all of Twitter behind a paywall
 

 
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Wall Street Journal:
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Scott Nover / Fast Company:
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