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1:45 AM ET, February 6, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
The Campaign Spot:
The Great Big Early Exit Poll Report  —  I just got a big pile of exit poll data.  —  The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent.  —  Fascinating and fun as it is, I remind my readers that this doesn't tell us that much, as we don't know what the district-by-district breakdown is.
RELATED:
The Campaign Spot:
Latest Exits Include One Massive ‘Wow.’ I Mean, ‘WOW.’  —  Here's a later round of exits.  It includes an absolute shocker that, I suspect, will have Hugh Hewitt jumping out of his chair...  Arizona: McCain 36 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 7 percent.
Matt Stoller / Open Left:
Early Exit Poll Rumors  —  (See the Republican numbers here - promoted by Chris Bowers)  —  Here you go.  I have no idea how reliable these are.  —  The Obama victories are bolded.  If these are real, Obama has thrashed Clinton today.  —  Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26  —  Connecticut: Obama 52, Clinton 45
CNN:
Clinton, McCain claim California, CNN projects  —  (CNN) — Sens. Hillary Clinton and John McCain will win California, Super Tuesday's biggest prize, CNN projects.  —  McCain padded his lead in the Republican presidential race, capped by taking California's 170 delegates.
MSNBC:
Clinton, Obama split spoils  —  Victory in largest state is biggest prize as Clinton takes most big states  —  Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton greets supports as she enters her Super Tuesday primary night rally in New York.  —  Live video  —  LIVE MSNBC TV
CNN:
Schneider: Conservatives seem split, Could be long night for Dems  —  NEW YORK (CNN) — The first round of exit polls from Republican and Democratic primaries across the country are providing some early signs on what trends are at play, and how the night may go.
Mitt Romney For President News:
Campaign Manager Beth Myers On The West Virginia Convention
Jim Kuhnhenn / Associated Press:
Analysis: Clinton and Obama Start Anew
Discussion: The New Republic
The Politico:
Berman's count: 606-534  —  David Plouffe, on a conference call just now, offered the Obama campaign's estimate of where they stand at this moment in terms of delegates.  —  “We are, in terms of delegates, ahead currently: about 606 to 534, in terms of pledged delegates awarded tonight,” he said.
RELATED:
Ari Melber / The Nation:
OBAMA CAMPAIGN PROJECTS 72 DELEGATE LEAD (FOR NOW)...  Barack Obama's presidential campaign is claiming an early lead in pledged delegates for Super Tuesday.  —  In a media conference call at 10:30pm, Campaign Manager David Plouffe estimated that Obama leads Hillary Clinton in pledged delegates by 606 to 534.
Discussion: All Spin Zone
Domenico Montanaro / MSNBC:
CLINTON ‘TALKING POINTS’ MEMO
Discussion: Live Coverage and Spin Cycle
Andy McCarthy / The Corner:
Re: The Die Has Been Cast  —  Remember the Clinton years?  We should — we may be on the verge of reliving them.  But I recall being most frustrated when some anti-Clinton zealot would claim the president had ordered an assassination or run cocaine through Mena Airport.
Discussion: TBogg
RELATED:
Victor Davis Hanson / The Corner:
The Die Has Been Cast
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
DEM EXITS, SECOND WAVE  —  These are the second wave exits.  Not certain whether or not they're weighted.  Assume they're not.  —  GA: C- 25.5, O - 75  —  CT: C - 45, O - 52.2  —  IL: C - 29.1, O - 69.6  —  AL: C - 37, O - 59.6  —  DE: C - 41.9, O - 55.6
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
SUPER TUESDAY LIVE BLOGGING  —  We are live blogging tonight and posting the most recent estimates for each race derived from the official public exit poll tabulations as they are posted online.  The table will update regularly (though you will need to reload the page to see updates) …
Mark Steyn / The Corner:
The morning after  —  I think John O'Sullivan is right.  There was an explicit anti-Romney vote in the south.  A mere month ago, in the wake of Iowa and New Hampshire, I received a ton of emails from southern readers saying these pansy northern states weren't the “real” conservative heartland …
Kevin Drum / Washington Monthly:
CALIFORNIA....Hmmm.  Exit polling suggests that Hillary Clinton won California by seven points, 51-44.  If she won the absentee ballot race even more strongly, she'll beat Obama by 10 points or more.  —  More broadly, it's a little surprising that there have been so many big victories tonight on the Democratic side.
Discussion: The Opinionator
Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:
The Coming Meltdown For The Democrats  —  Early in the race, Republicans appeared headed to a brokered convention.  GOP primary voters couldn't decide on a front-runner, and it looked like three or even four candidates could make it to the national convention with significant numbers of delegates, touching off a floor fight.
 
 
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 More Items: 
San Francisco Chronicle:
Gaming initiatives in lead as voters crowd polls
Discussion: Firedoglake and Calitics
ABCNEWS:
CIA Chief: We Waterboarded
Discussion: Pushing Rope and PoliGazette
Jonathan Wiesman / The Trail:
Romney's Expenses Per Delegate Top $1M
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
BETTER SPIN PLEASE
Discussion: Donklephant
Tom Bevan / TIME: Real Clear Politics:
Super Tuesday Election Thread
Paul Farhi / Washington Post:
CNN Hits The Wall for the Election
Discussion: TV Decoder
Ross Douthat:
Huckabee's Bright(er) Future
Discussion: Eunomia and The American Scene
Matthew Yglesias:
Romney's Speech  —  I believe I've noted before that I like Mitt Romney.
Discussion: Washington Monthly
 Earlier Items: 
Associated Press:
Clinton Wins American Samoa Caucus
Jeralyn / TalkLeft:
Live-Blogging My Colorado Caucus
Mary Katharine Ham / TownHall Blog:
The Huckabee Dilemma
Discussion: The Opinionator and MyDD
Brad DeLong / Grasping Reality with Both Hands:
I Just Voted for Barack Obama...
Discussion: Discourse.net
Nicole Belle / Crooks and Liars:
Whither Limbaugh and Coulter Goest...
The New Republic:
Subprime  —  Hillary's disastrous proposal to solve the mortgage crisis.
Bryan / Hot Air:
Rush Limbaugh *endorses Mitt Romney