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9:50 PM ET, November 4, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Joe Lieberman / The Huffington Post:
Exit Polls 2008: See The Full Results  —  (More exit polls coming soon.  We explain why you shouldn't trust them below.)  —  The head to head exit polls just were sent to the Huffington Post by a Democratic source.  These are traditionally unreliable and should be taken with a grain of salt (see: Kerry's winning margins in 2004).
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls  —  Oh, let me count the ways.  Almost all of this, by the way, is lifted from Mark Bluemthnal's outstanding Exit Poll FAQ.  For the long version, see over there.  —  1. Exit polls have a much larger intrinsic margin for error than regular polls.
Russell Goldman / ABCNEWS:
Obama Sweeps the Northeast, Wins Pennsylvania and N.H.  —  Barack Obama Has so Far Picked Up 102 Electoral Votes to McCain's 49  —  As the polls close on the East Coast, Barack Obama is sweeping through Northeast states and is projected to win Pennsylvania, a battleground state that John …
Alex Johnson / MSNBC:
Pa., other big states give Obama large early lead  —  Key states of Florida, Missouri remain too close to call, NBC News projects  —  A voter walks past an Obama sign near the polling place at Penrose Recreation Center in Philadelphia on Tuesday.  —  Slide show  —  America votes
Michelle Malkin:
Election Night: Counting the votes  —  I'm starting a fresh thread for the night.  Just a reminder that you can catch me on PJTV sometime during the 8pm-9pm Eastern slot.  —  Scroll for rolling updates...  Tidbits:  —  The Real Clear Politics electoral map is here.
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
Round one: IN, VA, OH, NC  —  Rather than have one unwieldy mega-thread for results, I'm going to break it up hour by hour.  That's truer to the “elimination round” nature of the early states that I talked about here, anyway.  —  Indiana and Virginia close at 7 p.m., Ohio and North Carolina follow half an hour later.
Discussion: Stop The ACLU and PoliGazette
Marc Ambinder:
Some Florida and PA Exit Poll Highlights
Discussion: Hot Air
Ann Althouse / Althouse:
Live-blogging the election returns!
Discussion: The Anchoress
Marc Ambinder:
National Exit Poll Data....First Takes...
Discussion: Gawker and Salon
Market Wire:
Republican National Committee Prepares for Computerized Voting Fraud Legal Battle  —  Forensicon, Inc., a Chicago-based computer forensics company, was contacted last Thursday by a security firm lining up vendors to assist the Republican National Committee with consulting related to potential allegations of computerized voter fraud.
Discussion: Ben Smith's Blogs
RELATED:
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Poll problems and poll problem spin
Discussion: NBC Philadelphia and Macsmind
Michelle Malkin:
Obama's civilian security force: Billy club-wielding security guards at Philly polls  —  Here's the vid of billy club-wielding “security” guards at the 1221 Fairmount Ave. polling place in Philly from Election Journal.  Just as I suspected, these guys look like NBPP from the emblem on one of the “guard's” jackets.
RELATED:
Satyam Khanna / Think Progress:
Lieberman: ‘I Fear’ That ‘America Will Not Survive’ If Democrats Get 60 Senate Seats  —  With the possibility that Democrats might soon gain a filibuster proof majority in the Senate, Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) has been openly flirting with thoughts of voting with his conservative colleagues.
RELATED:
City Room:
Tim Robbins Faces Mix-Up at Polling Place  —  The actor Tim Robbins, looked dejected and annoyed around 10:30 a.m., as he was sitting in a folding chair at the McBurney YMCA at 125 West 14th Street, one of the more than 1,300 polling places throughout New York City.
RELATED:
Peter Slevin / Washington Post:
Bill Ayers Speaks  —  CHICAGO — In his first interview since he became an issue in the 2008 presidential campaign, Bill Ayers, the former Weather Underground leader, said today that he had a distant relationship with Barack Obama and that Obama's opponents had turned him into “a cartoon character.”
Discussion: The Swamp
RELATED:
David Remnick / New Yorker:   MR. AYERS'S NEIGHBORHOOD  —  Early this morning, the Obama family voted …
Marc Ambinder:
An Obama “Urgent” E-mail  —  A New York City-based Obama home phonebanker who's been making calls through the MyBO.com hub to PA and VA says he just received this e-mail:
Peter Hamby / CNN:
Palin discusses her future  —  Gov. Sarah Palin cast her vote in Wasilla, Alaska and spoke to reporters about her future.  (AP PHOTO)  —  WASILLA, Alaska (CNN) — Sarah Palin appeared calm and confident Tuesday morning during her brief sojourn to Wasilla, Alaska, where she greeted hometown supporters …
Michaelscherer / Swampland:
Steve Schmidt Talks On The Final McCain Flight  —  John McCain came back to bid farewell to his traveling press corps on his final campaign flight from New Mexico to Arizona.  A few minutes later, his chief political strategist Steve Schmidt stood in the aisle surrounded by reporters' digital audio recorders.
Discussion: Firedoglake
RELATED:
Ana Marie Cox:
McCain Says Good-Bye — to the Press
Seanmalstrom / Malstrom's Articles News:
Toast  —  I've checked my email, and I have over a hundred new messages.  And I can't get to anything resorting to ‘Sean Malstrom’ due to real life situations.  Luckily I changed my career gears long ago.  But my old profession of political analysis is going to be absolutely destroyed.
Marc Ambinder:
Watching Florida: Real Vote Confirms Obama Lead  —  Bush won the huge swing county of Pinellas — [Sarasota ]— the St. Petersburg-Clearwater are — by a narrow margin in 2004.  Obama won it by 8 pts in 2008 — 35,000 votes.  Bush won Seminole County in central Florida with ease; Obama's leading McCain with half of the vote in.
The Corner:
Vote Early, Vote Often  —  An Obama voter in Pennsylvania admits to CNN that he voted multiple times:
Discussion: Commentary
Ali Frick / Think Progress:
Fearful Conservatives Push New Talking Point: ‘This Is A Center-Right Country’  —  Last Friday, Washington Post columnist Charles Krauthammer called the United States “the quintessential center-right country,” and wondered why it was “poised to reject” Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), “the quintessential center-right candidate.”
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Boyd Reed / eastside93's Blog:
I Didn't Vote For Obama Today  —  I have a confession to make.  —  I did not vote for Barack Obama today.  —  I've openly supported Obama since March.  But I didn't vote for him today.  —  I wanted to vote for Ronald Woods.  He was my algebra teacher at Clark Junior High in East St. Louis, IL.
Rob Crilly / Times of London:
Barack Obama's Kenyan family to celebrate by slaughtering bulls, chicken and goats  —  Times reporter attends the Obama family victory feast in the village of Kogelo, Kenya, and brings along a live goat  —  There's only one thing to take to a Kenyan election victory feast: a goat.
Discussion: The Corner
Byron York / The Corner:
Inside the Ohio Numbers  —  In addition to the traditional Republican constituency in Ohio, McCain was hoping for significant support among Democrats who voted for Hillary Clinton.  But the exit polls show that of the 16 percent of the electorate who identified themselves as Clinton Democrats, Obama is winning 82-17.
The Huffington Post:
“Fox & Friends” Host Steve Doocy Falsely Identifies Barack Obama At Polling Place, Says Of Black Man: “There He Is!”  —  “Fox & Friends” host Steve Doocy falsely identified Barack Obama while waiting for the Democratic nominee to emerge at his polling place in Chicago Tuesday morning.
Discussion: Think Progress and Comedy Central
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Good for Obama, bad for same-sex marriage?  —  California Democrats want Obama to win, but they're growing nervous tonight that a landslide back east could, perversely, help the state's conservatives pass an amendment barring same-sex marriage.  —  Their problem: If the presidential election appears over …
James Pethokoukis / US News:
Latest From McCain HQ  —  Here is the latest from inside Team McCain: Florida looks good.  Ohio, Penn., Virginia and NC are too close to call.  —  Me: As superguru Mike Barone puts it, wait for real votes to be counted.  But at the very least, this hardly looks like an Obama blowout.
Franco Ordoñez / The Charlotte Observer:
Few problems, but tight race could delay results  —  As N.C. voters head to the voting booths today, the latest polls show the battle for the state's coveted 15 electoral votes still up for grabs.  —  A Rasmussen Reports poll of likely North Carolina voters taken Nov. 2 shows Republican …
 
 
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 More Items: 
MSNBC:
Democrats take Senate seats in N.C., Va., N.H.
Discussion: Comedy Central
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
A narrowing path  —  ABC calls Pennsylvania and New Hampshire …
CBS News:
Election Night Rolls Into High Gear
Discussion: TalkLeft and Marc Ambinder
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
Indiana...  Just looking at some of the places where we have results in so far.
Discussion: Slog
Noam Scheiber / The New Republic:
Why No Bin Laden Tape?
Washington Post:
WA: Not Just Free Coffee and Donuts
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Rick vs. Joe
 Earlier Items: 
Jim DeFede / CBS4:
DeFede: An Interview With Jeb Bush
Charles Mahtesian / The Politico:
25 key counties to watch tonight
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
The Difference-Makers  —  I've been a little bit surprised …
Discussion: Kevin Drum
Nora Ephron / The Huffington Post:
Thinking About Bill  —  As I listened to Sarah Palin's recent …
Discussion: The Heretik
HillBuzz:
Five Reasons Obama Lost This Election
Discussion: The Heretik and Comedy Central